SUMMARY: Part 2 - October TC Summary

From: Gary Padgett (garyp@ALAWEB.COM)
Date: Sat Mar 11 2006 - 20:23:17 EST


                  MONTHLY GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY

                              OCTOBER, 2005
                            Second Installment

  (For general comments about the nature of these summaries, as well as
  information on how to download the tabular cyclone track files, see
  the Author's Note at the end of this summary.)

  NOTE: The October summary will be issued in two installments. The first
  will cover the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, while the second
  will cover the remaining tropical cyclone basins.

  *************************************************************************

                             OCTOBER HIGHLIGHTS

   --> Extremely active Atlantic with six storms--four hurricanes
   --> Record low Atlantic barometric pressure recorded
   --> Devastating hurricane strikes Yucatan Peninsula and southern Florida
   --> Hundreds of deaths in Mexico and Central America from tropical
       cyclone-induced and monsoon rains
   --> Western North Pacific quieter--two typhoons and neither destructive

  *************************************************************************

                    ********** EXTRA FEATURE **********

                        2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMES

           TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMES for the NORTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN

     Beginning in 2000 tropical storms and typhoons forming in the North
  Pacific west of the Dateline are assigned names by JMA taken from a
  new list of Asian names contributed by fourteen nations and territories
  from the western Pacific and eastern Asia. Names are not allocated
  in alphabetical order and the majority are not personal names--instead
  names of animals, plants, fictional characters, descriptive adjectives,
  places--even foods--are utilized. The entire list consists of 140
  names and all names will be used before any are repeated. The last
  name assigned in 2005 was Bolaven in November. As of 11 March no
  tropical cyclones have been named in 2006.

     The next 36 names on the list are (** indicates name has already
  been assigned in 2006):

       Chanchu Wukong Chebi Pabuk
       Jelawat Sonamu Durian Wutip
       Ewiniar Shanshan Utor Sepat
       Bilis Yagi Trami Fitow
       Kaemi Xangsane Kong-rey Danas
       Prapiroon Bebinca Yutu Nari
       Maria Rumbia Toraji Wipha
       Saomai Soulik Man-yi Francisco
       Bopha Cimaron Usagi Lekima

     Since 1963 PAGASA has independently named tropical cyclones forming
  in the Philippines' AOR--from 115E to 135E and from 5N to 25N (except
  for a portion of the northwestern corner of the above region). Even
  though the Philippines contributed ten names to the international list
  of typhoon names, PAGASA still continues to assign their own names for
  local use within the Philippines. It is felt that familiar names are
  more easily remembered in the rural areas and that having a PAGASA-
  assigned name helps to underscore the fact that the cyclone is within
  PAGASA's AOR and potentially a threat to the Philippines. Another
  consideration may be PAGASA's desire to assign a name when a system is
  first classified as a tropical depression. Since tropical and/or
  monsoon depressions can bring very heavy rainfall to the nation which
  often results in disastrous flooding, the weather service feels that
  assigning a name helps to enhance public attention given to a system.

     Beginning with 2001 PAGASA began using new sets of cyclone names.
  These do not all end in "ng" as did the older names. Four sets of 25
  names will be rotated annually; thus, the set for 2006 will be re-used
  in 2010. In case more than 25 systems are named in one season, an
  auxiliary set will be used. PAGASA names for 2006 are (** indicates
  name has already been assigned in 2006):

           Agaton ** Juan Reming
           Basyang ** Katring Seniang
           Caloy Luis Tomas
           Domeng Milenyo Usman
           Ester Neneng Venus
           Florita Ompong Waldo
           Gloria Paeng Yayang
           Henry Queenie Zeny
           Inday

     In the unlikely event that the list is exhausted, the following
  names would be allocated as needed: Agila, Bagwis, Chito, Diego,
  Elena, Felino, Gunding, Harriet, Indang and Jessa.

                    NORTH INDIAN OCEAN CYCLONE NAMES

     After several years of planning and working out implementation
  details, the RSMC for the North Indian Ocean basin--the Indian
  Meteorological Department--began naming tropical cyclones in that
  region on an experimental basis in the autumn of 2004.

     The procedure for allocating names is similar to that used in the
  Northwest Pacific basin. All the member nations--eight in this case--
  submitted eight names each. The 64 names were arranged in eight
  columns of eight names, ordered by the contributing nations in alpha-
  betical order, just as is done in the Northwest Pacific. Potential
  cyclonic storms for 2006 include (** indicates name has already been
  assigned):

           Mala Gonu Abe
           Mukda Yemyin Khai Muk
           Ogni Sidr Nisha
           Akash Nargis Bijli

  *************************************************************************

                             ACTIVITY BY BASINS

  ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico

  Activity for October: 1 tropical depression
                         1 subtropical depression
                         2 tropical storms
                         2 hurricanes
                         2 intense hurricanes

  NOTE!!! The Atlantic basin was covered in the first installment of the
           October summary.

  *************************************************************************

  NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180

  Activity for October: 1 tropical depression
                         1 hurricane **

  ** - storm formed in September and was covered in the September summary

  NOTE!!! The Northeast Pacific basin was covered in the first installment
           of the October summary.

  *************************************************************************

  NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180

  Activity for October: 3 tropical depressions **
                         3 typhoons ++

  ** - only one of these was treated as a tropical depression by JTWC

  ++ - one of these formed in September and was covered in the September
       summary

                         Sources of Information
                         ----------------------

     Most of the information presented below is based upon tropical
  cyclone warnings and significant tropical weather outlooks issued
  by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U. S. Air Force and
  Navy (JTWC), located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. In the companion
  tropical cyclone tracks file, I normally annotate track coordinates
  from some of the various Asian warning centers when their center
  positions differ from JTWC's by usually 40-50 nm or more. All
  references to sustained winds imply a 1-minute averaging period
  unless otherwise noted.

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
  Typhoon 2000 website, normally sends me cyclone tracks based upon
  warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the
  Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services
  Administration (PAGASA).

     In the title line for each storm I have referenced all the cyclone
  names/numbers I have available: JTWC's depression number, the
  JMA-assigned name (if any), JMA's tropical storm numeric designator,
  and PAGASA's name for systems forming in or passing through their
  area of warning responsibility.

              Northwest Pacific Tropical Activity for October
              -----------------------------------------------

     The Northwest Pacific basin was much quieter in October than during
  the preceding two months. Only two tropical storms were named, compared
  with five in September. Typhoon Kirogi occupied a considerable chunk
  of October, forming during the second week roughly midway between the
  northernmost Mariana Islands and Okinawa. Kirogi moved slowly and
  erratically for several days before finally taking off on a persistent
  northeasterly track which carried it into North Pacific waters well
  south of Japan. The storm was of major intensity, almost becoming
  a super typhoon when it peaked at 125 kts to the east of Okinawa.
  Typhoon Kai-tak traveled far, forming near Yap and eventually moving
  into northern Vietnam. The system crossed the Philippine Archipelago
  as a fairly weak depression on the 27th before finally getting its act
  together in the central South China Sea. Kai-tak became a respectable
  90-kt typhoon off the Vietnamese coast before weakening and moving
  northwestward, parallel to the coast. By the time landfall occurred
  Kai-tak had weakened into a minimal tropical storm.

     Four other systems were tracked during October. As the month opened,
  intense Typhoon Longwang was about to make a destructive strike on
  Taiwan and the Chinese mainland. During the first week of the month,
  weak Tropical Depression 20W formed in the northwestern South China Sea
  and moved westward into Vietnam. Only two warnings were issued for this
  system by JTWC, although it was carried as a depression for a longer
  period by JMA and some of the other warning agencies. Two other tropical
  depressions were identified by JMA but were not so classified by JTWC.
  One of these was a weak but long-lived system which was first referenced
  in JMA's bulletin on 7 October east of the northern Marianas near 20.0N/
  148.0E. The depression moved very slowly westward for a few days,
  remaining quasi-stationary at times in the vicinity of the Marianas. On
  the 12th it began to move northward, becoming slow-moving once more on
  the 14th in the subtropics well to the southeast of Japan. The system
  turned to the northeast on the 15th and was last mentioned near 35.0N/
  150.0E on the 17th. This disturbance was included in JTWC's STWOs for
  several days and was given a 'fair' potential for development on the 9th.
  This, however, was downgraded to 'poor' on the 10th. (This system's NRL
  invest number was 93W.)

     Another weak tropical depression was classified by JMA on 10 October
  near 25.0N/152.0E, or several hundred miles east-northeast of the
  Marianas. This system was tracked generally northward for the next
  couple of days, being finally mentioned near 31.0N/152.0E at 10/1200 UTC.
  This system also was referenced in JTWC's STWOs but was given only a
  'poor' development potential. No tracks for these weaker depressions
  were included in the accompanying global tropical cyclone tracks file.
  (This second weak depression's NRL invest number was 94W.)

     Reports follow for Typhoons Kirogi and Kai-tak. The complete report
  on Super Typhoon Longwang may be found in the September summary. A
  graphic depicting the track of short-lived Tropical Depression 20W may
  be found at the following link:

<http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/database/2005/w_pacific/BT-IMAGES/2005-2
0W-NONAME.gif>

                             TYPHOON KIROGI
                       (TC-21W / TY 0520 / NANDO)
                             9 - 20 October
             ---------------------------------------------

  Kirogi: submitted by North Korea, is the name of a migrating bird,
          the wild goose

  A. Introduction and Storm Origins
  ----------------------------------

     Typhoon Kirogi was an intense tropical cyclone that spent its entire
  life over the open waters of the Northwest Pacific. Wedged into a col
  region between two HIGHs, slow movement was a feature of this system.
  Kirogi spent almost a week between the latitudes of 20N and 25N before
  finally accelerating northeastwards and becoming extratropical
  southeast of Japan.

     The disturbance that spawned Kirogi was first mentioned as a
  persistent area of convection in JTWC's STWO at 1130 UTC 9 October,
  located approximately 260 nm west-southwest of the Japanese island of
  Iwo Jima. Animated satellite imagery indicated cycling convection
  north of a partially-exposed LLCC. An upper-level analysis revealed
  low to moderate wind shear, favourable diffluence aloft and increasing
  850-mb vorticity. A TCFA was issued at 09/2330 UTC based on alignment
  of the deep convection with the LLCC. The first warning on Tropical
  Depression 21W was released at 10/0600 UTC, the centre located nearly
  400 nm southeast of Okinawa, Japan. At this time, JMA upgraded their
  MSW estimate to 35 kts and assigned the name Kirogi. PAGASA had
  already named the cyclone Nando after it entered their AOR early on
  10 October. Kirogi rapidly organized and became a 35-kt tropical storm
  (per JTWC) at 10/1800 UTC. Movement was slow and towards the south at
  5 kts.

  B. Synoptic History
  -------------------

     Kirogi quickly strengthened and became a 75-kt typhoon at 1200 UTC
  11 October, located approximately 430 nm southeast of Okinawa. A mid-
  level steering ridge centred over southeastern China continued to
  impart a southward steering influence through 11 October. A passing
  mid-latitude trough to the north and enhanced poleward outflow into a
  TUTT centred to the east aided further rapid intensification and Kirogi
  reached its first maximum of 115 kts at 12/0600 UTC while turning onto
  a very slow northward track. The tropical cyclone remained on this
  heading, under the competing steering influences of two mid-level
  ridges for the next three days. A weakening phase began late on
  12 October as a result of increasing shear and entrainment of a drier
  and more stable airmass from eastern Asia. However, the intensity
  levelled off and Kirogi maintained a MSW of 90-95 kt through
  13-14 October.

     At 0000 UTC 15 October Typhoon Kirogi was located approximately
  260 nm southeast of Okinawa and was crawling north-northeastwards at
  2 kts. The MSW had been nudged up a little to 100 kts and this
  intensity was maintained on 15 October. As the mid-level ridge over
  southeast Asia began to weaken in response to an approaching longwave
  trough, Kirogi began to accelerate, first on a east-northeasterly
  heading, then onto a northeastward track early on 16 October. The storm
  strengthened one last time and reached its overall peak intensity of
  125 kts at 16/0600 UTC while centred approximately 440 nm west of Iwo
  Jima, Japan. Turning north-northeastward, Typhoon Kirogi began to
  weaken late on 16 October as it became further embedded within the
  steering flow of the longwave trough. Accelerating further, the system
  turned back onto a northeasterly heading. After a marked reduction in
  the deep convection and disappearance of the eye, Kirogi was downgraded
  to a 55-kt tropical storm at 18/1800 UTC while passing about 180 nm
  south-southeast of Tokyo. It was declared extratropical and the final
  JTWC warning issued six hours later. JMA maintained Kirogi as a
  tropical cyclone until 19/0600 UTC, at which time that agency also
  issued their final warning. The remnant extratropical gale remained
  quasi-stationary for another day or so east of Honshu while weakening.

     NMCC estimated a peak intensity of 100 kts while JMA classified
  Kirogi as a Very Severe Typhoon, estimating a maximum intensity of
  90 kts (10-min avg) and a CP of 935 mb. PAGASA and the CWB of Taiwan
  also estimated peak intensities of 90 kts (10-min avg).

     A graphic depicting the track of Typhoon Kirogi/Nando may be found
  at the following link:

<http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/database/2005/w_pacific/BT-IMAGES/2005-2
1W-KIROGI.gif>

  C. Damage and Casualties
  ------------------------

     There were no reported damage or casualties associated with Typhoon
  Kirogi.

  (Report written by Kevin Boyle)

                             TYPHOON KAI-TAK
                            (TC-22W / TY 0521)
                         25 October - 2 November
               -------------------------------------------

  Kai-tak: contributed by Hong Kong, is the name of an old airport which
           was closed in 1998

  A. Introduction and Storm Origins
  ---------------------------------

     Typhoon Kai-tak was first noted in JTWC's STWO as a persistent area
  of convection at 2300 UTC 27 October, located approximately 230 nm
  west-southwest of Manila, Philippines. Both animated infrared
  satellite imagery and a 27/1753 UTC AMSR-E pass depicted improving
  convection over a possible LLCC. An upper-level analysis indicated weak
  wind shear and moderate outflow. Development continued under the
  favourable environmental conditions and a TCFA was issued at 28/0930
  UTC. The first warning on Tropical Depression 22W was issued at
  28/1800 UTC, locating the centre approximately 410 nm east-southeast of
  Hue, Vietnam. (Editor's Note: JMA initially upgraded this disturbance
  to a weak tropical depression on 25 October while located near 9.0N/
  138.0E--well east of the southern Philippines. After 12 hours it was
  downgraded to a low-pressure area and subsequently tracked westward
  across the southern Philippines into the South China Sea, where it was
  resurrected as a tropical depression at 0600 UTC on 28 October.)

  B. Synoptic History
  -------------------

     Moving westward at 8 kts, Tropical Depression 22W was upgraded to a
  35-kt tropical storm at 0000 UTC 29 October, centred approximately
  400 nm southeast of Hue, Vietnam. Six hours later, it was named Kai-tak
  when JMA raised their 10-min avg MSW to 35 kts. The system was heading
  into a weak steering environment between two ridges and this caused the
  tropical cyclone to decelerate on 29 October. Strengthening continued,
  and Kai-tak was upgraded to a 65-kt typhoon at 0000 UTC 30 October
  while located approximately 340 nm east-southeast of Hue, Vietnam.
  After moving erratically northwards on 30 October, Kai-tak turned onto
  a predominantly northwestward track and reached a peak intensity of
  90 kts at 30/1200 UTC.

     Steering currents strengthened as a mid-level ridge to the northeast
  intensified, and this synoptic feature was to guide Typhoon Kai-tak on
  an accelerating northwestward path towards its eventual landfall in
  Vietnam. The storm began to weaken on 31 October as it headed
  northwestward into a less favourable environment. Kai-tak was
  downgraded to a 60-kt tropical storm at 1800 UTC 1 November. The
  tropical cyclone continued northwestwards, paralleling the Vietnamese
  coastline and came ashore with a MSW estimated at 45 kts at 02/0600
  UTC approximately 125 nm south of Hanoi, Vietnam. Both JTWC and JMA
  issued their respective final warnings at 02/1200 UTC as the system was
  dissipating over Vietnam.

     All Asian agencies estimated a peak MSW value of 80-kts (10-min avg)
  and JMA estimated a minimum CP of 950 mb.

    A graphic depicting the track of Typhoon Kai-tak may be found at the
  following link:

<http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/database/2005/w_pacific/BT-IMAGES/2005-2
2W-KAI-TAK.gif>

  C. Damage and Casualties
  ------------------------

     At least 20 people were known to have died after Tropical Storm
  Kai-tak made landfall in Vietnam. Heavy rains destroyed thousands of
  hectares of farmland in 10 provinces and disrupted transportation,
  submerging a section of the north-south railway. About 18,000 people
  were evacuated from their homes.

  (Report written by Kevin Boyle)

  *************************************************************************

  NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

  Activity for October: 2 tropical cyclones **

  ** - both of these were classified as minimal tropical storms by JTWC.
       One was treated as a deep depression by IMD, the other was never
       classified as a depression by that agency.

                         Sources of Information
                         ----------------------

     Most of the information presented below is based upon tropical
  cyclone warnings and significant tropical weather outlooks issued
  by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U. S. Air Force and
  Navy (JTWC), located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some
  information may be gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks
  and other bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department
  (IMD), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre (RSMC) for the basin.

     The reported maximum sustained winds (MSW) are based on a 1-minute
  averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military
  weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic
  observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and
  3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to
  modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;
  hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied. In the North Indian Ocean
  basin JTWC usually does not initiate warnings until a system has
  become well-organized and likely to attain tropical storm status
  within 48 hours.

              North Indian Ocean Tropical Activity for October
              ------------------------------------------------

     Two tropical cyclones formed in the North Indian Ocean during October.
  Both were treated as minimal tropical storms by JTWC, but neither was
  named as a cyclonic storm by IMD. Tropical Cyclone 03B formed very early
  in the month just off the northeastern Indian coastline and moved north-
  northeastward and inland near Calcutta. This system was not classified
  as even a depression by IMD. Tropical Cyclone 04B formed during the
  final week of the month to the northeast of Sri Lanka and moved inland
  in southeast India. This system was treated as a deep depression by
  RSMC New Delhi. Short reports follow on both these tropical cyclones.

                           TROPICAL CYCLONE
                               (TC-03B)
                             2 - 3 October
                 ------------------------------------

     Tropical Cyclone 03B was a short-lived minimal tropical storm which
  formed just off the eastern coast of India a few hundred miles south-
  west of Calcutta. A STWO issued by JTWC at 0900 UTC on 1 October
  mentioned that an area of convection had persisted about 325 nm south-
  southwest of Calcutta with an associated LLCC. The disturbance was
  situated under moderate vertical wind shear and favorable equatorward
  divergence. The potential for development was upgraded to 'fair' at
  01/1900 UTC after animated satellite imagery revealed convection
  beginning to build over the well-defined LLCC. Surface winds at this
  time were estimated at 20-25 kts, and the first warning on TC-03B was
  issued at 0600 UTC on 2 October, placing the center approximately
  225 nm southwest of Calcutta and moving north-northeastward at 4 kts.
  The initial warning intensity was set at 35 kts, which proved to be
  the peak intensity for this short-lived cyclone. The intensity was
  also supported by Dvorak ratings of T2.5 from SAB.

     The tropical cyclone continued moving north-northeastward just off
  the eastern coastline of India. The center of TC-03B moved inland just
  south of Calcutta early on 3 October (UTC) and the final JTWC warning
  was issued at 0600 UTC, placing the center about 20 nm south of Calcutta.
  To the author's knowledge, this system was never classified even as a
  depression by the IMD, just the opposite of Cyclonic Storm Pyarr in
  September which was never classified as a tropical cyclone by JTWC.

     A graphic depicting the track of Tropical Cyclone 03B may be found at
  the following link:

<http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/database/2005/indian/BT-IMAGES/2005-03B-
NONAME.gif>

     No damage or casualties are known to have resulted from Tropical
  Cyclone 03B.

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

                            TROPICAL CYCLONE
                                (TC-04B)
                             26 - 28 October
                  ------------------------------------

     Like Tropical Cyclone 03B early in the month, Tropical Cyclone 04B
  was another system treated as a tropical storm by JTWC but not by IMD.
  However, in this case the IMD did classify the system as a deep
  depression, implying winds of 30 kts. A STWO issued by JTWC at 0700
  UTC on 25 October noted than an area of convection had persisted almost
  400 nm east of Madras, India, and was associated with a well-defined
  LLCC. The disturbance was located under low to moderate vertical shear
  with a good westerly outflow channel. Maximum winds at the time were
  estimated at 20-25 kts. The potential for development was upped to
  'fair' at 1800 UTC on 26 October after a 26/1153 UTC TRMM pass had
  revealed consolidating deep convection over the LLCC. The system at
  this time was located a little less than 200 nm east-southeast of
  Madras, and IMD had by this time classified the system as a depression.

     The system continued moving westward toward the Indian coast as it
  gradually increased in organization. IMD upgraded it to deep depression
  status on the 27th, and JTWC issued a TCFA at 27/0100 UTC. The center
  was then located only about 50 nm southeast of Madras with maximum winds
  estimated in the range of 30 to 35 kts and moving west-northwestward
  at 12 kts. However, the westerly motion halted and the depression
  turned northward. The first JTWC warning on Tropical Cyclone 04B was
  issued at 27/1800 UTC and placed the center about 120 nm northeast of
  Madras and tracking northward at 5 kts. The MSW was estimated at 35 kts
  and a 27/1645 UTC AMSU pass indicated strong convection decoupled to
  the west of the well-organized LLCC.

     TC-04B turned more to the northwest and later west-northwest on the
  28th of October and made landfall around Ongole, India, around 1200 UTC.
  The peak intensity estimated by JTWC was 35 kts, but Dvorak estimates
  from SAB supported an intensity of 45 kts from around 1500 UTC on the
  27th until landfall. The IMD continued tracking the remnants of TC-04B
  inland over South Andhra State through 29/1200 UTC.

     A graphic depicting the track of Tropical Cyclone 04B may be found at
  the following link:

<http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/database/2005/indian/BT-IMAGES/2005-04B-
NONAME.gif>

     No damage or casualties are known to have resulted from Tropical
  Cyclone 04B.

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

  *************************************************************************

  SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E

  Activity for October: 1 tropical depression

                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The primary sources of tracking and intensity information for
  Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclones are the warnings issued by
  the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on La Reunion Island, part of
  Meteo France (MFR), and the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre
  for the basin. However, tropical cyclones in this region are named
  by the Sub-regional Tropical Cyclone Advisory Centres in Mauritius and
  Madagascar with longitude 55E being the demarcation line between their
  respective areas of naming responsibility. The La Reunion centre only
  advises these agencies regarding the intensity of tropical systems.
  References to sustained winds imply a 10-minute averaging period unless
  otherwise stated.

     In the companion tropical cyclone tracks file, I occasionally
  annotate positions from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl
  Harbor, Hawaii, when they differ from MFR's coordinates by usually
  40-50 nm or more. The JTWC warnings are also the source of the
  1-minute average maximum sustained wind values included in the
  tracks file. Additionally, information describing details of
  satellite imagery and atmospheric circulation features included in
  the narratives is often gleaned from the JTWC warnings.

            Southwest Indian Ocean Tropical Activity for October
            ----------------------------------------------------

     One tropical system was tracked in the Southwest Indian Ocean basin
  during the month of October. Forming on the 12th very deep in the
  tropics far to the east of Diego Garcia, Tropical Depression 02 (per
  MFR's warnings) moved for a few days on a southwesterly track before
  weakening on the 15th. The system was treated as a 30-kt tropical
  depression by MFR, but was upgraded to a minimal tropical storm (TC-01S)
  in JTWC's warnings. A short report on this system follows.

                            TROPICAL DEPRESSION
                             (MFR-02 / TC-01S)
                              12 - 15 October
                  ---------------------------------------

     The second numbered tropical disturbance (per MFR) of the 2005-2006
  season in the Southwest Indian Ocean had its origins deep in the tropics
  on 12 October about 725 nm northwest of the Cocos Islands and about
  850 nm east of Diego Garcia. MFR initiated bulletins on Tropical
  Disturbance 02 at 0600 UTC, and later that day JTWC mentioned in a
  STWO that the exposed LLCC was accompanied by cycling convection. The
  system began to move southwestward, a heading that would continue
  throughout its lifetime. Peak winds near the center were estimated
  at 25 kts with winds locally reaching 30 kts in the southern semicircle.
  The disturbance changed little in intensity on 13 October, but early on
  the 14th began to show signs of strengthening. JTWC issued a TCFA at
  14/0130 UTC, upgrading the potential for development to 'good'. Deep
  convection was persisting near the LLCC and the system had moved under
  a narrow axis of low vertical shear with favorable anticyclonic outflow.
  At 14/0600 UTC MFR upgraded the disturbance to tropical depression
  status with 30-kt winds. Winds up to and exceeding gale force were
  forecast in isolated spots well south of the center. JTWC initiated
  warnings on the system as TC-01S at 14/1200 UTC, estimating the 1-min
  avg MSW at 35 kts.

     The tropical depression continued moving southwestward on 15 October
  into an unfavorable environment of cooler SSTs and increasing vertical
  shear. At 15/1800 UTC MFR lowered the central MSW to 25 kts and issued
  their final warning on the system, placing the center approximately
  575 nm southeast of Diego Garcia. This was also the time of JTWC's
  final warning on TC-01S. The peak 1-min avg MSW per JTWC's warnings
  was 35 kts, although satellite intensity estimates from SAB were at
  45 kts on the 14th and early on the 15th. (NOTE: MFR restricts the
  term "tropical depression" to systems with a 10-min avg MSW of 30 kts,
  equal to a Dvorak rating of T2.5 and equivalent to IMD's "deep
  depression" classification.)

     A graphic depicting the track of Tropical Depression 02 (TC-01S) may
  be found at the following link:

<http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/database/2006/SOHEM/BT-IMAGES/2005-01S-0
2R-NONAME.gif>

     No damage or casualties resulted from this tropical depression.

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

  *************************************************************************

  NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - From 90E to 135E

  Activity for October: No tropical cyclones

  *************************************************************************

  NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - From 135E to 160E

  Activity for October: No tropical cyclones

  *************************************************************************

  SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E

  Activity for October: No tropical cyclones

  *************************************************************************

         SPECIAL FEATURE - SOURCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION

     The purpose of this section is to list some websites where many and
  varied types of tropical cyclone information are archived. Many readers
  will know about these already, but for the benefit of those who don't,
  I wanted to include them.

  (1) Aircraft Reconnaissance Information
  ---------------------------------------

     Various types of messages from reconnaissance aircraft may be
  retrieved from the following FTP site:

     <ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/products/nhc/recon/>

     Information regarding how to interpret the coded reconnaissance
  messages may be found at the following URL:

     <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml>

  Links are also included to websites with further information about the
  U. S. Air Force 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and the NOAA Air-
  craft Operations Center.

  (2) Archived Advisories
  -----------------------

     All the advisory products (public advisories, forecast/advisories,
  strike probabilities, discussions, various graphics) issued by TPC/NHC
  are archived on TPC's website. For the current year (using 2004 as an
  example), the archived products can be found at:

     <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/index.shtml>

  Links to tropical products archives for earlier years are available at
  the following URL:

     <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastall.shtml>

  JTWC warnings for past storms are archived on the NRL Monterry website:

     <http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html>

  On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left
  corner of the screen.

     I am not aware at the moment of any other TCWC which archives all
  its tropical cyclone warning/advisory products for public access, but
  if I learn of any, I will add them to this list.

  (3) Satellite Imagery
  ---------------------

     Satellite images of tropical cyclones in various sensor bands are
  available on the NRL Monterrey and University of Wisconsin websites,
  courtesy of Jeff Hawkins and Chris Velden and their associates. The
  links are:

     <http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html>

     <http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html>

  On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left
  corner of the screen. For the CIMSS site, a link to data archives is
  located in the lower left portion of the screen.

     Additional tropical satellite imagery, along with looping ability for
  composite microwave imagery for the Western Hemisphere north of the
  equator, can be found at:

  (1) For the Eastern North Pacific:

     <http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-epac.html>

  (2) For the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea:

     <http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html>

     I'm sure there are other sites with available imagery available, and
  as I learn of them, I will add the links to this list.

  *************************************************************************

                              EXTRA FEATURE

     In order to shorten the amount of typing in preparing the narrative
  material, I have been in the habit of freely using abbreviations and
  acronyms. I have tried to define most of these with the first usage
  in a given summary, but I may have missed one now and then. Most of
  these are probably understood by a majority of readers but perhaps a
  few aren't clear to some. To remedy this I developed a Glossary of
  Abbreviations and Acronyms which I first included in the August, 1998
  summary. I don't normally include the Glossary in most months in
  order to help keep them from being too long. If anyone would like to
  receive a copy of the Glossary, please e-mail me and I'll be happy
  to send them a copy.

  *************************************************************************

  AUTHOR'S NOTE: This summary should be considered a very preliminary
  overview of the tropical cyclones that occur in each month. The cyclone
  tracks (provided separately) will generally be based upon operational
  warnings issued by the various tropical cyclone warning centers. The
  information contained therein may differ somewhat from the tracking and
  intensity information obtained from a "best-track" file which is based
  on a detailed post-seasonal analysis of all available data. Information
  on where to find official "best-track" files from the various warning
  centers will be passed along from time to time.

    The track files are not being sent via e-mail. They can be retrieved
  from the archive sites listed below. (Note: I do have a limited e-mail
  distribution list for the track files. If anyone wishes to receive
  these via e-mail, please send me a message.)

    Both the summaries and the track files are standard text files
  created in DOS editor. Download to disk and use a viewer such as
  Notepad or DOS editor to view the files.

     The first summary in this series covered the month of October,
  1997. Back issues can be obtained from the following websites
  (courtesy of Michael Bath, Michael V. Padua, Michael Pitt, Chris
  Landsea, and John Diebolt):

    <http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
    <http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
    <http://mpittweather.com>
    <ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
    <http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/>

     Another website where much information about tropical cyclones may
  be found is the website for the UK Meteorological Office. Their site
  contains a lot of statistical information about tropical cyclones
  globally on a monthly basis. The URL is:

    <http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tropicalcyclone>

                    TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORTS AVAILABLE

     JTWC now has available on its website the Annual Tropical Cyclone
  Report (ATCR) for 2004 (2003-2004 season for the Southern Hemisphere).
  ATCRs for earlier years are available also.

     The URL is: <http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>

     Also, TPC/NHC has available on its webpage nice "technicolor"
  tracking charts for the 2004 Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific
  tropical cyclones; also, storm reports for all the 2004 Atlantic
  and Eastern North Pacific cyclones are now available, as well as
  track charts and reports on storms from earlier years.

     The URL is: <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     A special thanks to Michael Bath of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales,
  Australia, for assisting me with proofreading the summaries.

  PREPARED BY

  Gary Padgett
  E-mail: garyp@alaweb.com
  Phone: 334-222-5327

  Kevin Boyle (Northwest Pacific)
  E-mail: newchapelobservatory@btinternet.com

  Simon Clarke (Northeast Australia/Coral Sea, South Pacific)
  E-mail: saclarke@iprimus.com.au

  *************************************************************************
  *************************************************************************

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