SUMMARY: Part 1 - August TC Summary

From: Gary Padgett (garyp@ALAWEB.COM)
Date: Sun Oct 08 2006 - 07:43:01 EDT


                   MONTHLY GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY

 

                                AUGUST, 2006

                              First Installment

 

  SPECIAL NOTE: The August summary is being issued in three installments.

  This first one covers the Atlantic basin and contains an extra feature.

  The second will cover the Northeast Pacific basin while the third will

  cover the Northwest Pacific and North Indian Ocean basins.

 

  (For general comments about the nature of these summaries, as well as

  information on how to download the tabular cyclone track files, see

  the Author's Note at the end of this summary.)

 

  NOTE FROM THE AUTHOR: Almost two years ago I began including links to

  track graphics prepared by John Diebolt of Tucson, Arizona, and archived

  on his tropical cyclone website. A few months back John experienced a

  disk crash which resulted in a error. He had to request assistance from

  the programmer who had written the map-generation software, but so far

  has not been able to get the problem solved. As a convenience to users,

  I've also recently been including links to the individual tabular tracks,

  prepared by myself, which John had archived on his website. Now, due to

  family issues, John has not had time to place the tracks for the August

  cyclones on the website. I have checked the websites listed at the end

  of the summaries and found that the entire August track file has been

  archived on two of them. The links are:

 

  http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/2007/trak0608.htm

 

  http://www.typhoon2000.ph/garyp_mgtcs/aug06tks.txt

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                              AUGUST HIGHLIGHTS

 

   --> Atlantic rather quiet--tropical storm affects Haiti, Cuba, Florida

       and U. S. Eastern Seaboard

   --> Eastern North Pacific very active--one hurricane adversely affects

       the Baja California Peninsula

   --> Extremely long-lived Central and Western Pacific major hurricane/

       super typhoon strikes both Johnston and Wake Islands

   --> Western North Pacific very active--China experiences very rare

       strike by a destructive super typhoon

   --> Several weak depressions in Bay of Bengal

 

  *************************************************************************

 

             !!!!!!!!!!!!!! EXTRA FEATURE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                          ADDENDUM TO JULY SUMMARY

 

                   System South of Nova Scotia on 17 July

                   --------------------------------------

 

     An interesting-looking system south of Nova Scotia on 17 July may

  possibly have been a tropical or subtropical storm. The system was

  small, had a tight LLCC, anticyclonic outflow, and Buoy 44137 reported

  sustained gale-force winds and 5 to 6-metre significant wave heights.

  I do not currently have any more information available on this system,

  but Eric Blake of TPC/NHC has indicated that it will be reviewed for

  possible inclusion as an unnamed storm. The main issues to be determined

  are whether or not it was warm-core and if it was attached to a frontal

  boundary.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                             ACTIVITY BY BASINS

 

  ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico

 

  Activity for August: 2 tropical storms

                        1 hurricane

 

 

                          Sources of Information

                          ----------------------

 

     Most of the information presented below was obtained from the

  various tropical cyclone products issued by the Tropical Prediction

  Center/National Hurricane Center (TPC/NHC) in Miami, Florida:

  discussions, public advisories, forecast/advisories, tropical weather

  outlooks, special tropical disturbance statements, etc. Some

  additional information may have been gleaned from the monthly

  summaries prepared by the hurricane specialists and available on

  TPC/NHC's website. All references to sustained winds imply a

  1-minute averaging period unless otherwise noted.

 

 

                    Atlantic Tropical Activity for August

                    -------------------------------------

 

     Following are some statistics for the Atlantic basin during the month

  of August:

 

                                       August Average

        Parameter 2006 1950 - 2005

        --------------------------------------------------------

        Named Storms (NS) 3 2.8

        Hurricanes (H) 1 1.6

        Intense Hurricanes (IH) 0 0.6

        Named Storm Days (NSD) 12.75 12.1

        Hurricane Days (HD) 0.50 5.7

        Intense Hurricane Days (IHD) 0.00 1.3

 

     As can be seen, the month of August, 2006, was well below average in

  all but the NS and NSD categories. The overall net tropical cyclone

  activity (utilizing all six parameters) was only 47% of the amount of

  tropical cyclone activity normally seen in August. By way of contrast,

  the Northeast Pacific basin was much above normal in August, 2006, with

  the net activity for that basin almost 2.5 times the average. The month

  was the quietest August in the Atlantic basin since 2002 when three NS

  developed with none reaching hurricane intensity.

 

     Activity began early in the month when Tropical Storm Chris blossomed

  near the Leeward Islands. Even though Chris became well-organized and

  approached hurricane intensity, unfavorable shear and dry air led to the

  storm's dissipation as it moved into the southeastern Bahamas. During

  the fourth week of the month a well-organized and vigorous tropical wave

  exited the African coast and prompted the issuance of tropical storm

  warnings for the Cape Verde Islands. The system, however, slipped on

  south of the islands before being upgraded to Tropical Storm Debby.

  After its rather distinguished beginning, however, Debby moved west-

  northwestward through a less-than-optimum environment and never

  intensified beyond 45 kts, eventually dissipating between Bermuda and

  the Azores.

 

     Late in the month a tropical wave ahead of Debby began to strengthen

  as it approached the Lesser Antilles and became Tropical Storm Ernesto

  in the eastern Caribbean Sea. Ernesto briefly became the season's first

  hurricane while situated near southwestern Haiti, but interaction with

  the mountainous terrain led to the storm's weakening. Ernesto moved

  northwestward across eastern Cuba, then turned northward and moved over

  portions of the Florida Peninsula. The cyclone subsequently moved back

  over the Atlantic and accelerated north-northeastward and intensified,

  reaching the North Carolina coast near Cape Fear just shy of hurricane

  intensity. Ernesto's remnants moved northward across Virginia, Maryland,

  Pennsylvania, New York and finally into Ontario, causing fairly

  significant rainfall totals in many areas. Reports follow on all three

  of the named storms.

 

     One other weather system in August warrants mentioning. By mid-day on

  13 August a non-tropical low pressure system located about 280 nm east

  of the northeastern Florida coast was producing a small area of showers

  and thunderstorms. The next day a new circulation center seemed to be

  developing just north of the Bahamas while the old center to the north-

  east was becoming less organized. By mid-day on the 15th a surface

  LOW had become better organized about 260 nm southeast of the North and

  South Carolina coasts. While convection was minimal at the time,

  environmental conditions were forecast to become more favorable for

  development. Convection increased on the morning of 16 August, the

  center then being located about 110 nm south of the Carolina coastline.

  An Air Force reconnaissance plane flew a mission into the system during

  the afternoon and found peak surface winds of only 20 kts in a few

  isolated thunderstorms. While the potential existed for a tropical

  depression to form, upper-level winds were forecast to become

  increasingly unfavorable over the next few days. On the 17th the weak

  LOW began to drift westward and later southwestward. By the early

  morning of 18 August the LOW was centered about 85 nm east-northeast of

  Jacksonville, Florida, and remained poorly organized. Early on the

  19th, while located only about 50 nm east of Jacksonville, the LOW

  appeared to be a little better organized, but conditions were still not

  conducive for strengthening. The LOW continued to drift westward toward

  the northeastern Florida coast through the 19th as it weakened. The

  final mention by TPC/NHC was in the afternoon Tropical Weather Outlook

  issued at 5:30 PM EDT on 19 August.

 

 

 

                            TROPICAL STORM CHRIS

                                   (TC-03)

                                1 - 5 August

                  ----------------------------------------

 

     Tropical Storm Chris was a short-lived, though briefly well-organized,

  tropical cyclone which flared up near the Leeward Islands very early in

  August. The origins of Chris lay with a westward-moving tropical wave

  which left the African coast in late July. It was first mentioned in a

  Tropical Weather Outlook issued by TPC/NHC on the afternoon of 27 July

  when it was located about 480 nm southwest of the Cape Verde Islands.

  Vertical shear inhibited development for several days, but as the system

  approached the Lesser Antilles on 31 July conditions became somewhat more

  favorable for tropical cyclogenesis. The first advisory on Tropical

  Depression 03 was issued at 0300 UTC on 1 August, placing the center

  about 140 nm east-southeast of Antigua. Reports from a French buoy

  during the afternoon indicated that a weak circulation was associated

  with the tropical wave and the system was maintaining enough deep

  convection to be classified as a tropical depression. However, due to

  some westerly shear resulting from strong easterlies in the lower

  troposphere, the presence of a large upper-level LOW just east of the

  Bahamas, and a very dry air mass, the depression was not forecast to

  reach tropical storm intensity but rather to dissipate within three

  days.

 

     During the night the depression slowed its forward speed and deep

  convection increased in both depth and organization around the LLCC.

  Also, both TAFB and SAB estimated the intensity at 35 kts, and two

  consecutive AMSU intensity estimates were at 35-36 kts. Therefore, on

  the second advisory TD-03 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Chris at 0900

  UTC. During the afternoon the first aerial reconnaissance was flown

  into Chris, and the Hurricane Hunters found a very small core of strong

  winds with a CP of 1007 mb--rather low considering the high environmental

  pressures. A peak FLW of 53 kts was found just southeast of the center,

  and the intensity was bumped up to 40 kts in the 01/2100 UTC advisory.

  However, shortly after the issuance of that advisory, the Hurricane

  Hunters found a 64-kt FLW along with a 1003-mb pressure, so a special

  advisory was issued upping the winds to 50 kts. Since some of the models

  were forecasting a decrease in the vertical shear, Chris was forecast

  to increase to hurricane intensity in three days.

 

     Chris strengthened slightly and reached its peak intensity of 55 kts

  around 1200 UTC on 2 August when centered approximately 55 nm north of

  the island of St. Martin and moving west-northwestward at about 9 kts.

  The latest FLW measured by a reconnaissance aircraft was 67 kts and both

  TAFB and SAB had assigned Dvorak ratings of T3.5. By late on the 2nd

  Chris had turned to more of a westerly heading and the MSW had dropped

  slightly to 50 kts. Early on the 3rd it was becoming apparent that

  Chris was weakening in a hurry. The combination of low and mid-level

  dry air and shear associated with an upper-level cyclone which had

  dropped southward into Chris was taking its toll on the tropical storm.

  By 03/1200 UTC Chris was only a minimal tropical storm 250 nm east-

  southeast of Grand Turk Island, and was devoid of any deep convection

  within a 75-nm radius of the center. The forecast called for Chris

  to weaken into a tropical depression within 12 hours, but the cyclone

  stubbornly hung on to its tropical storm status for another 24 hours.

  Finally, at 1200 UTC on 4 August, Chris was downgraded to a depression

  located about 15 nm south of Grand Turk and moving toward the west at

  11 kts. The final advisory, issued at 05/0900 UTC, placed only a weak

  20-kt center about 130 nm east of Camaguey, Cuba. The system was

  becoming a broad low-pressure area devoid of thunderstorm activity.

  It was felt that there was a slight chance that the system might undergo

  some modest re-intensification later in the Gulf of Mexico, but this

  failed to materialize.

 

     Damage caused by Tropical Storm Chris was generally minor and mainly

  consisted of local flooding. Several inches of rain fell over many of

  the islands in the Lesser and Greater Antilles, leading to some homes

  being flooded and causing some crop losses. Fortunately, there were no

  casualties associated with the storm.

 

     The online Wikipedia report on Chris, from which some of the above

  information was taken, is available at the following URL:

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Chris_%282006%29

 

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

 

 

 

                           TROPICAL STORM DEBBY

                                  (TC-04)

                              21 - 27 August

                 ----------------------------------------

 

     The precursor of Tropical Storm Debby was a very well-organized and

  vigorous tropical wave which moved off the African coast on 20 August.

  Shower and thunderstorm activity decreased some on the 21st, but the

  low-pressure area associated with the wave remained well-organized and

  advisories were initiated on Tropical Depression 04 at 2100 UTC that

  afternoon. The depression was centered about 220 nm southeast of the

  southernmost Cape Verde Islands and moving west-northwestward at 10 kts.

  Because the projected path of the system took it through or very near

  the Cape Verdes and intensification was forecast, a tropical storm

  warning was issued for the islands. However, the system passed over

  100 nm south of the Cape Verdes on the 22nd so the effects there were

  limited to some rainfall with no damage reported.

 

     As the cyclone passed to the south of the Cape Verdes, deep central

  convection continued to increase and Tropical Storm Debby was christened

  at 0300 UTC on 23 August. The upgrade was based on satellite intensity

  estimates of 35 kts from SAB, TAFB and AFWA, and also several AMSU

  estimates of tropical storm intensity. In addition, a 22/2027 UTC

  QuikScat overpass showed several 30-35 kt uncontaminated wind vectors

  near the circulation center. Debby at this time was centered about

  260 nm west of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands, scooting off to

  the west-northwest at 16 kts. Debby rather quickly reached an initial

  peak intensity of 45 kts at 23/1200 UTC, but shortly thereafter

  encountered some dry air which led to the convection diminishing and the

  storm weakening some. By the 24th the convection had redeveloped near

  the center and banding features had redeveloped as well, so the cyclone

  again reached an intensity of 45 kts at 24/1200 UTC as it continued

  west-northwestward across the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

 

     Early on the 25th the storm began to weaken due to increasing

  southerly shear, and by 25/1200 UTC had become a minimal tropical storm.

  Further weakening ensued and Debby was downgraded to a tropical

  depression at 1500 UTC on 26 August. During its dissipating stages

  the system turned more or less due northward. TPC/NHC issued its

  final advisory on Tropical Depression Debby at 2100 UTC on the 27th,

  placing the center approximately 700 nm west-southwest of the Azores.

 

     No damage or casualties are known to have resulted from Tropical

  Storm Debby.

 

     The online Wikipedia report on Debby may be accessed at the following

  URL:

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Debby_%282006%29

 

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

 

 

 

                             HURRICANE ERNESTO

                                  (TC-05)

                          24 August - 3 September

                -------------------------------------------

 

  A. Storm Origins

  ----------------

 

     A tropical wave left the African coast ahead of the one which

  produced Tropical Storm Debby but remained insignificant until the

  22nd when it was first mentioned in a Tropical Weather Outlook issued

  by TPC/NHC. The system gradually began to show signs of increased

  organization as it approached the Lesser Antilles. A reconnaissance

  aircraft during the afternoon of the 24th was able to close off a

  surface circulation and advisories were begun on Tropical Depression 05

  at 2100 UTC that day. The center of the new depression was located

  about 135 nm southwest of the island of Martinique and moving quickly

  westward at 19 kts. Earlier in the afternoon Barbados had reported

  sustained winds of 33 kts, but the direction of those winds suggested

  a convective outflow or downburst not representative of the cyclone's

  circulation. TD-05 was initially forecast to increase to tropical

  storm intensity soon, but this was delayed for about 24 hours due to

  the storm's passage through an environment of moderate shear.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

 

     Tropical Storm Ernesto was christened at 2100 UTC on 25 August when

  located about 260 nm south-southwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico. An

  Air Force reconnaissance aircraft had found a peak FLW of 48 kts at

  300 meters about 40 nm northeast of the center along with a CP of

  1004 mb. Vertical shear continued to hamper Ernesto's intensification

  as it plodded west-northwestward across the central Caribbean Sea,

  gradually slowing its forward speed. The shear began to abate some

  on the 27th and the cyclone began to strengthen, reaching hurricane

  intensity at 1200 UTC when located about 100 nm southwest of Port-au-

  Prince, Haiti, or about 185 nm south-southeast of Guantanamo Bay,

  Cuba. The MSW had been bumped up to 60 kts in the 27/0900 UTC advisory

  based on the formation of an eye and maximum FLWs of 78 kts at 850 mb

  in the northeast quadrant. The forecast associated with this particular

  advisory called for a Category 3 hurricane in the eastern Gulf of Mexico

  in 96 hours, but it was the previous advisory's forecast (27/0300 UTC)

  which really had had a sobering effect among residents and emergency

  managers in that it called for a Category 3 hurricane to be advancing

  toward the central Gulf Coast in 5 days--areas which had been devastated

  by Katrina exactly one year earlier. Fortunately, this scenario failed

  to materialize.

 

     Even as Ernesto was upgraded to a hurricane, its appearance in

  satellite imagery was becoming ragged. The upper-level LOW which had

  been responsible for the vertical shear plaguing Ernesto had retreated

  westward and shear had significantly diminished, so it appears that

  involvement with the rugged terrain of southwestern Haiti was the main

  factor which had resulted in Ernesto's weakening. The cyclone moved

  northwestward, crossing the extreme southwestern portion of Haiti, then

  continuing northwestward toward the southern Cuban coastline. The

  cyclone had weakened to 45 kts during its encounter with Haiti and did

  not intensify while back over water in the north-central Caribbean.

  Ernesto moved onshore in Cuba around 1200 UTC on 28 August about 30 nm

  west of Guantanamo Bay, moving northwestward near 9 kts. The center of

  the storm spent almost 24 hours over eastern Cuba, emerging into the

  Florida Straits by 29/1200 UTC. The tenuous system managed to hang onto

  minimal tropical storm intensity while over the island and had

  re-intensified to 40 kts by 1200 UTC.

 

     With Ernesto over the very warm Florida Straits, intensification

  seemed very likely and for a time the storm did become somewhat more

  organized-looking in radar and satellite imagery, but by the afternoon

  of the 29th its presentation had become a bit ragged-looking. It was

  suggested that one negative factor might have been some modest easterly

  shear which showed up in water vapor images. Ernesto's track became

  increasingly northerly as it neared the southern tip of the Florida

  Peninsula. The storm's center made landfall about 13 nm east of Flamingo

  or about 45 nm south-southwest of Miami around 0600 UTC on 30 August with

  a MSW of 40 kts. The storm began to weaken after moving inland and was

  downgraded to a tropical depression at 30/1500 UTC while passing about

  85 km (55 miles) west-southwest of West Palm Beach. By 0300 UTC on the

  31st Ernesto was emerging into the Atlantic near Cape Canaveral, and at

  0600 UTC was re-upgraded to tropical storm status just off the Florida

  East Coast about 205 nm south-southwest of Charleston, South Carolina.

  The cyclone's forward motion had picked up a bit to 13 kts, and a turn

  toward the north-northeast at a faster speed was forecast.

 

     By 1500 UTC on 31 August Ernesto's intensity had increased to 50 kts

  and the cyclone was moving north-northeastward at 15 kts. Atmospheric

  conditions were favorable for strengthening, and as Ernesto passed over

  the warm Gulf Stream waters, its MSW increased to 60 kts before the

  center made landfall just west of Cape Fear, North Carolina, around

  0600 UTC on 1 September. As a precaution, hurricane watches were issued

  for portions of the Carolina coastlines. Following landfall Ernesto

  began to quickly weaken and was downgraded to a tropical depression at

  1500 UTC on 1 September while located about 130 km (80 miles) west-

  southwest of Norfolk, Virginia, and responsibility for issuing advisories

  was shifted to the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. The weakening

  tropical cyclone moved northward across North Carolina into Virginia and

  had evolved into an extratropical gale by 0300 UTC on 2 September near

  West Point, Virginia. The system continued moving northward, still

  producing gale-force winds over the Atlantic through 02/2100 UTC. The

  final HPC advisory, issued at 03/0300 UTC, placed the center about 80 km

  (50 miles) east-southeast of State College, Pennsylvania. The remnants

  continued northward, moving into New York later on the 3rd and finally

  dissipating in southeast Ontario on the 4th as it was absorbed into a

  developing occluded cyclone in Maine.

 

 

  C. Storm Impact

  ---------------

 

     Information in this section is largely taken from the excellent

  online Wikipedia report on Hurricane Ernesto. More detailed information

  may be found by consulting this report, available at the following URL:

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Ernesto_%282006%29

 

     Hurricane Ernesto was responsible for bringing heavy rains to all the

  Greater Antilles except Jamaica. In Puerto Rico 119.1 mm of rain fell

  in two days at the Sabana Grande ALERT station. In the Dominican

  Republic heavy rainfall caused river flooding and landslides, leading

  to damage to some houses and also downing trees. Over 1600 people were

  evacuated near Santo Domingo.

 

     Some portions of Haiti experienced over 300 mm of rainfall in

  association with Ernesto, causing flooding which destroyed homes and

  ultimately was responsible for 5 fatalities in the nation. In Cuba

  Guantanamo reported over 75 mm of rainfall in four hours. In that nation

  more than 700,000 persons were evacuated but no deaths, injuries nor

  major damage were reported.

 

     Ernesto brought heavy rains to several areas of the U. S. In Florida

  the highest storm total measured was 221 mm at South Golden Gate Estates

  in Collier. The heavy rainfall was responsible for auto accidents which

  left at least two persons dead. Several thousand residents experienced

  power outages for a short time.

 

     In South Carolina the highest rainfall total related to Ernesto was

  146 mm at Blythewood on Cedar Creek. In North Carolina prodigious

  rains fell in many areas as moisture from Ernesto interacted with a

  frontal boundary, but the maximum total of 371 mm recorded near

  Wrightsville Beach was associated directly with the tropical cyclone

  and most of this fell within a 24-hour period. One traffic fatality

  in North Carolina was blamed on Ernesto, and crop damage in the state

  was estimated to total $76 million.

 

     Wakefield, Virginia, recorded 258 mm of rainfall during Ernesto's

  passage with total damage in the state estimated at over $104 million.

  Two people were killed in Gloucester County when high winds caused a

  large tree to fall on a modular home. More than 600,000 people from

  North Carolina to Connecticut experienced power outages resulting from

  Ernesto. Tragically, one woman died from carbon monoxide poisoning

  from a portable electrical generator being used during the power

  outage. The combination of a large high pressure system and the

  weakening tropical cyclone produced a large area of gale-force winds

  which affected much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern coastal areas

  of the U. S. These gales caused high tides which swamped St. George

  Island in St. Mary's County, Maryland. Rains generally between 50

  and 100 mm fell across Pennsylvania and New York during the last stages

  of Ernesto.

 

     More information on Ernesto's rainfall may be found at the following

  URL:

 

  http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/ernesto2006.html

 

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180

 

  Activity for August: 2 tropical storms

                        2 hurricanes

                        3 major hurricanes **

 

  ** - one of these formed in Central North Pacific and became a Western

       Pacific super typhoon

 

 

  NOTE!!! The Northeast Pacific basin will be covered in the second

          installment of the August summary.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180

 

  Activity for August: 3 tropical depressions **

                        3 tropical storms

                        2 typhoons ++

                        2 super typhoons &&

 

  ** - two of these were classified as weak depressions by JMA only

 

  ++ - one of these formed in late July and continued into early August

 

  && - one of these was a visitor from the Central North Pacific and

       continued into early September

 

 

  NOTE!!! The Northwest Pacific basin will be covered in the third

          installment of the August summary.

  

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

 

  Activity for August: 3 depressions

                        1 deep depression

 

 

  NOTE!!! The North Indian Ocean basin will be covered in the third

          installment of the August summary.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E

 

  Activity for August: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - From 90E to 135E

 

  Activity for August: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - From 135E to 160E

 

  Activity for August: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E

 

  Activity for August: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

         SPECIAL FEATURE - SOURCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION

 

     The purpose of this section is to list some websites where many and

  varied types of tropical cyclone information are archived. Many readers

  will know about these already, but for the benefit of those who don't,

  I wanted to include them.

 

  (1) Aircraft Reconnaissance Information

  ---------------------------------------

 

     Various types of messages from reconnaissance aircraft may be

  retrieved from the following FTP site:

 

     ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/products/nhc/recon/

 

     Information regarding how to interpret the coded reconnaissance

  messages may be found at the following URL:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml

 

  Links are also included to websites with further information about the

  U. S. Air Force 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and the NOAA Air-

  craft Operations Center.

 

  (2) Archived Advisories

  -----------------------

 

     All the advisory products (public advisories, forecast/advisories,

  strike probabilities, discussions, various graphics) issued by TPC/NHC

  are archived on TPC's website. For the current year (using 2004 as an

  example), the archived products can be found at:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/index.shtml

 

  Links to tropical products archives for earlier years are available at

  the following URL:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastall.shtml

 

  JTWC warnings for past storms are archived on the NRL Monterry website:

 

     http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

 

  On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left

  corner of the screen.

 

     I am not aware at the moment of any other TCWC which archives all

  its tropical cyclone warning/advisory products for public access, but

  if I learn of any, I will add them to this list.

 

  (3) Satellite Imagery

  ---------------------

 

     Satellite images of tropical cyclones in various sensor bands are

  available on the NRL Monterrey and University of Wisconsin websites,

  courtesy of Jeff Hawkins and Chris Velden and their associates. The

  links are:

 

     http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

 

     http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html

 

  On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left

  corner of the screen. For the CIMSS site, a link to data archives is

  located in the lower left portion of the screen.

 

     Additional tropical satellite imagery, along with looping ability for

  composite microwave imagery for the Western Hemisphere north of the

  equator, can be found at:

 

  (1) For the Eastern North Pacific:

 

     http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-epac.html

 

  (2) For the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea:

 

     http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html

 

     I'm sure there are other sites with available imagery available, and

  as I learn of them, I will add the links to this list.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                              EXTRA FEATURE

 

     In order to shorten the amount of typing in preparing the narrative

  material, I have been in the habit of freely using abbreviations and

  acronyms. I have tried to define most of these with the first usage

  in a given summary, but I may have missed one now and then. Most of

  these are probably understood by a majority of readers but perhaps a

  few aren't clear to some. To remedy this I developed a Glossary of

  Abbreviations and Acronyms which I first included in the August, 1998

  summary. I don't normally include the Glossary in most months in

  order to help keep them from being too long. If anyone would like to

  receive a copy of the Glossary, please e-mail me and I'll be happy

  to send them a copy.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  AUTHOR'S NOTE: This summary should be considered a very preliminary

  overview of the tropical cyclones that occur in each month. The cyclone

  tracks (provided separately) will generally be based upon operational

  warnings issued by the various tropical cyclone warning centers. The

  information contained therein may differ somewhat from the tracking and

  intensity information obtained from a "best-track" file which is based

  on a detailed post-seasonal analysis of all available data. Information

  on where to find official "best-track" files from the various warning

  centers will be passed along from time to time.

 

    The track files are not being sent via e-mail. They can be retrieved

  from the archive sites listed below. (Note: I do have a limited e-mail

  distribution list for the track files. If anyone wishes to receive

  these via e-mail, please send me a message.)

 

    Both the summaries and the track files are standard text files

  created in DOS editor. Download to disk and use a viewer such as

  Notepad or DOS editor to view the files.

 

     The first summary in this series covered the month of October,

  1997. Back issues can be obtained from the following websites

  (courtesy of Michael Bath, Michael V. Padua, Michael Pitt, Chris

  Landsea, and John Diebolt):

 

    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/

    http://www.typhoon2000.ph <http://www.typhoon2000.ph/>

    http://mpittweather.com <http://mpittweather.com/>

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/

    http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/

 

 

     Another website where much information about tropical cyclones may

  be found is the website for the UK Meteorological Office. Their site

  contains a lot of statistical information about tropical cyclones

  globally on a monthly basis. The URL is:

 

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tropicalcyclone

    

 

                    TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORTS AVAILABLE

 

     JTWC now has available on its website the Annual Tropical Cyclone

  Report (ATCR) for 2004 (2003-2004 season for the Southern Hemisphere).

  ATCRs for earlier years are available also.

 

     The URL is: http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html

 

     Also, TPC/NHC has available on its webpage nice "technicolor"

  tracking charts for the 2005 Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific

  tropical cyclones; also, storm reports for all the 2005 Atlantic

  and Eastern North Pacific cyclones are now available, as well as

  track charts and reports on storms from earlier years.

 

     The URL is: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/>

 

 

     A special thanks to Michael Bath of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales,

  Australia, for assisting me with proofreading the summaries.

 

 

  PREPARED BY

 

  Gary Padgett

  E-mail: garyp@alaweb.com

  Phone: 334-222-5327

 

  Kevin Boyle (Northwest Pacific)

  E-mail: newchapelobservatory@btinternet.com

 

  Simon Clarke (Northeast Australia/Coral Sea, South Pacific)

  E-mail: scla4255@bigpond.net.au

 

  *************************************************************************

  *************************************************************************

 

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