SUMMARY: April TC Summary

From: Gary Padgett (garyp@ALAWEB.COM)
Date: Mon Jun 11 2007 - 08:17:29 EDT


 

                    MONTHLY GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY

 

                                  APRIL, 2007

 

  (For general comments about the nature of these summaries, as well as

  information on how to download the tabular cyclone track files, see

  the Author's Note at the end of this summary.)

 

  SPECIAL NOTE #1: John Diebolt of Tucson, Arizona, produces track

  graphics of all the tropical and subtropical systems for which I prepare

  a tabular track in the companion cyclone tracks file. These can be

  accessed at the following URL:

 

  http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/

 

  Scroll down the chart to the month of interest and click on the green

  bar under "Operational Track Image" for the desired system.

 

  The tabular track of positions and intensities may also be obtained

  from the above website, or from the other archival sites listed in

  the Author's Note in the closing section of this summary.

 

 

  SPECIAL NOTE #2: Short reports with satellite pictures and small-scale

  maps for all tropical cyclones may be found at the following links:

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_Atlantic_hurricane_season

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_Pacific_hurricane_season

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_Pacific_typhoon_season

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_North_Indian_cyclone_season

 

 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006-07_Southern_Hemisphere_tropical_cyclone_se
ason

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                              APRIL HIGHLIGHTS

 

   --> Cyclone strikes northeastern Madagascar

   --> First Northwest Pacific typhoon of year affects Marianas

   --> South Pacific tropical cyclone causes damage in Fiji

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                     ********** EXTRA FEATURE **********

 

             WESTERN HEMISPHERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMES for 2007

 

     Tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and

  Caribbean Sea are assigned names by the Tropical Prediction Center/

  National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida. A separate alphabetical

  set of alternating male/female names is used each year with the name

  of the first tropical storm beginning with the letter "A". Names are

  repeated every six years. The names of hurricanes which cause a lot

  of damage and/or fatalities are usually retired from the list with

  another name of the same alphabetical rank and gender replacing it.

  Following the 2006 season, which was a mild one, no names were retired

  so the list for 2012 will be identical to last year's list.

 

     The highest number of tropical storms named in one season in the

  Atlantic was 27 during the incredibly active 2005 season, which has

  become the most active Atlantic tropical cyclone season on record.

  Other very active seasons include 1887 (19 storms), 1933 (21 storms),

  1969 (18 storms) and 1995 (19 storms).

 

     The list of names for 2007 is the same one used during the active

  hurricane season of 2001 when fifteen tropical cyclones were named,

  down through Olga. Names retired following 2001 include Allison,

  Iris, and Michelle, and these have been replaced in the list for 2007

  with Andrea, Ingrid, and Melissa, respectively.

 

     TPC/NHC also has warning responsibility for the Eastern North

  Pacific Ocean from the west coast of Mexico out to longitude 140W.

  Six separate alphabetical sets of names are used for this basin in

  the same manner as in the Atlantic. Initially, the Eastern Pacific

  name sets contained only 21 names, omitting "Q" and "U" and ending

  with the letter "W", as in the Atlantic. When the active 1985 season

  threatened to exhaust the list, the names Xina, York and Zelda were

  drafted to accommodate any additional storms which might develop.

  (Hurricane Xina was named in late October, 1985.) The decision was

  made sometime in the latter 1980s to extend the list with these three

  names in odd-numbered years, and to add the names Xavier, Yolanda and

  Zeke in even-numbered years (to preserve the alternating gender

  scheme). During the Northeast Pacific's year of record activity in

  1992, all 24 names were allotted to tropical cyclones forming east of

  140W, ending with Tropical Storm Zeke in late October. Had more storms

  developed, they would have been named with the letters of the Greek

  alphabet (Alpha, Beta, etc), which is also the backup plan for the

  Atlantic basin in case more than 21 tropical storms develop in a single

  season.

 

    The list for this year was last used in 2001 when fifteen tropical

  cyclones were named, the last one being Octave. The most active season

  to utilize this set of names was in 1983, when 21 cyclones were named,

  down through Winnie (later changed to Wallis). Following the 2001

  season, the name Adolph was retired for political considerations and

  replaced with Alvin in the list for 2007.

 

     The Central Pacific Hurricane Center, located in Honolulu, has

  tropical cyclone warning responsibility for that portion of the North

  Pacific Ocean lying between longitudes 140W and 180. The majority of

  the tropical storms and hurricanes seen in that region are visitors

  from east of 140W, but on the average about one tropical storm forms

  in the Central Pacific each year, and when this happens, the storm is

  given a Hawaiian name. The list consists of four sets of twelve

  names each, using only the letters of the Hawaiian alphabet. All the

  names are used--the first storm to form in a given year is assigned

  the next available name on the list. No tropical cyclones were named

  by CPHC in 2003-2005. The last storm to form in Central Pacific

  waters was Hurricane Ioke in August, 2006, so the next name to be

  assigned will be Kika.

 

     The list of Hawaiian names has recently been revised with 16 of

  the 48 names having been replaced. In the column of names listed below

  for the Central Pacific, the names Omeka, Pewa and Unala are new,

  replacing Oleka, Peni and Ulia.

 

     Names for 2007 are (** indicates name has already been assigned):

 

 

            ATLANTIC EASTERN PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC

 

    Andrea ** Lorenzo Alvin ** Manuel Kika

    Barry ** Melissa Barbara ** Narda Lana

    Chantal Noel Cosme Octave Maka

    Dean Olga Dalila Priscilla Neki

    Erin Pablo Erick Raymond Omeka

    Felix Rebekah Flossie Sonia Pewa

    Gabrielle Sebastien Gil Tico Unala

    Humberto Tanya Henriette Velma Wali

    Ingrid Van Ivo Wallis Ana

    Jerry Wendy Juliette Xina Ela

    Karen Kiko York Halola

                                 Lorena Zelda Iune

 

  *************************************************************************

  

                             ACTIVITY BY BASINS

 

  ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico

 

  Activity for April: No tropical cyclones

 

 

                    Atlantic Tropical Activity for April

                    ------------------------------------

 

     The only April tropical or subtropical storms included in the Atlantic

  basin's official "best tracks" database are a subtropical storm in 1992

  and Tropical Storm Ana in 2003, which initially was a subtropical storm.

  And April, 2007, was a normal month in that no systems were tracked.

  However, there was one system which did elicit some interest. On

  20 April, exactly four years to the day after Ana was named as a

  subtropical storm, visible satellite imagery revealed what at first

  glance looked like a well-developed tropical or subtropical storm

  east of the northern Florida coastline with a large, ragged hole in

  the middle which sort of resembled an eye. Buoy reports indicated the

  existence of a surface circulation, but the convection was extremely

  shallow and the system did not show up in large-scale water vapor

  imagery. The LOW apparently had its roots in a large mid to upper-level

  tropospheric cyclone which had been south of Lake Michigan on the 18th

  and had migrated across the Appalachians on its way to the Atlantic.

  So, while the system was interesting-looking, nothing came of it.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180

 

  Activity for April: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180

 

  Activity for April: 1 typhoon

 

 

                          Sources of Information

                          ----------------------

 

     Most of the information presented below is based upon tropical

  cyclone warnings and significant tropical weather outlooks issued

  by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U. S. Air Force and

  Navy (JTWC), located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. In the companion

  tropical cyclone tracks file, I normally annotate track coordinates

  from some of the various Asian warning centers when their center

  positions differ from JTWC's by usually 40-50 nm or more. All

  references to sustained winds imply a 1-minute averaging period

  unless otherwise noted.

 

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the

  Typhoon 2000 website, normally sends me cyclone tracks based upon

  warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the

  Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services

  Administration (PAGASA). A very special thanks to Michael for the

  assistance he so reliably provides.

  

      In the title line for each storm I have referenced all the cyclone

  names/numbers I have available: JTWC's depression number, the

  JMA-assigned name (if any), JMA's tropical storm numeric designator,

  and PAGASA's name for systems forming in or passing through their

  area of warning responsibility.

 

 

                 Northwest Pacific Tropical Activity for April

                 ---------------------------------------------

 

     A tropical depression which formed at the end of March became the

  first tropical storm and first typhoon of 2007 in the Northwest Pacific

  basin. Typhoon Kong-rey intensified into a typhoon of moderate intensity

  (Category 2 on the Saffir/Simpson scale) and passed through the Mariana

  Islands but fortunately caused no fatalities and only minor damage. A

  report on Kong-rey, written by Kevin Boyle, follows.

 

 

 

                             TYPHOON KONG-REY

                            (TC-01W / TY 0701)

                            31 March - 7 April

                  --------------------------------------

 

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - Japanese Meteorological Agency, Tokyo (JMA)

     b. JMA - Typhoon 0701

     c. JTWC - Tropical Cyclone 01W

     d. NAME - Kong-rey (named by JMA at Mar 31/1800 UTC; name

               contributed to the regional list by Cambodia, and

               is the name of a pretty girl in a Khmer legend;

               also the name of a mountain)

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: Northwest Pacific Ocean (NWP)

     b. Dates: 31 March - 7 April, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 90 kts (1-min avg per JTWC)

                          75 kts (10-min avg per JMA)

     d. Min Cent Press: 960 hPa (estimate per JMA)

 

  3. Beginning of Track: Mar 31/0000 UTC, near 7.0N/157.0E, or about

     75 nm west of Phonpei, as referenced in a High Seas bulletin

     issued by JMA.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: Apr 03/1200 UTC, near 17.7N/144.3E, or about

     175 nm north-northwest of Saipan. (It should be noted that JTWC's

     MSW was at 90 kts from 03/1200 through 04/0000 UTC.)

 

  5. Size: At its peak Typhoon Kong-rey was a moderately small tropical

     cyclone with a gale radius averaging between 80-90 nm.

 

  6. End of Track: Apr 07/0000 UTC, near 27.0N/169.0E, or about 475 nm

     north-northeast of Wake Island.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

 

  1. Origin: The precursor to Typhoon Kong-rey was initially discussed in

     JTWC's STWO issued at 1400 UTC 30 March. A TCFA was issued at

     31/0600 UTC based on increased consolidation of the LLCC and a 24-hour

     pressure fall of nearly 4 mb at Pohnpei. Upper-level analysis

     indicated a region of moderate vertical shear but excellent

     equatorward outflow and improving poleward outflow due to a deepening

     upper-level LOW located near 179E.

 

  2. General Description of Track: Tropical Depression 01W formed west

     of Pohnpei on 31 March and tracked west-northwestward south of a

     subtropical ridge, reaching tropical storm intensity late on 31 March

     while located approximately 150 nm east-northeast of Chuuk. Kong-rey

     turned northwestward and became a typhoon on 2 April, passing a little

     over 40 nm east-northeast of Saipan at around 02/2200 UTC. After

     attaining its peak intensity of 90 kts on 3 April, Kong-rey turned

     northwards into a weakness in the ridge instigated by a deepening mid-

     latitude trough. The storm then recurved northeastward into the

     westerlies the next day and weakened rather quickly, becoming

     extratropical on 6 April. The extratropical gale continued to weaken

     and by 0000 UTC 7 April was only a 20-kt LOW located about 475 nm

     north-northeast of Wake Island.

 

     An excellent comprehensive online report on Typhoon Kong-rey may be

  found at the following link:

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Kong-rey_%282007%29

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

  1. The highest wind gust reported on Saipan was 36 kts at 03/0641 UTC.

     Sustained winds remained below gale force.

 

  2. A ship located 45 miles east of the centre at 04/1800 UTC reported

     1001 mb and a south-southeast wind of 45 kts.

 

  3. The centre of Typhoon Kong-rey passed about 20 miles northwest of a

     buoy which reported 994 mb at 2000 UTC (down from 1008 mb at 1200

     UTC), putting the MSLP in the 988-990 mb range. (I do not have the

     exact time of the observation.)

 

  4. Minamitorishima (station 47991, RJAM) reported 1003.7 mb and 36 kts

     at a 9-metre elevation at 05/0700 UTC with the centre of Kong-rey

     located about 110 miles to the northwest. Extratropical transition

     was complete or nearly complete at this time.

  

     The above observations were sent to the author by Derrick Herndon. A

  special thanks to Derrick for sending the information.

 

     Some additional observations are contained in the Wikipedia report

  (see link above).

  

 

  D. Damage and Casualties

  ------------------------

  

     There were no casualties nor major damage associated with Typhoon

  Kong-rey.

 

 

  E. Additional Discussion

  ------------------------

 

     Many of the global models predicted tropical cyclogenesis in the

  tropical Western North Pacific for almost a week before the emergence

  of Kong-rey. Following are some comments from Chris Velden which he

  posted to a tropical cyclone discussion group on 30 March shortly

  before the development of Tropical Depression 01W. (Thanks to Chris

  for giving me permission to include his comments here.)

 

     "I think what we now see unfolding in the WestPac is quite remarkable.

 

     "Neglecting for a moment that a definite TC hasn't popped out yet from

  the large gyre, the fact that a strong cyclonic system has quickly

  emerged in the predicted region from global model forecasts over a

  week ago is testament to just how far we have come, IMHO. As a TC

  research group we harp over the chaotic dynamics in that part of

  the tropics, with all the various scale interactions and complexities.

  But it appears that we are beginning to capture some of Nature's

  secrets through our computational advances, improved physics and

  parameterizations, and better assimilation of satellite data. This is

  indeed a success story worthy of accolades for the NWP groups and the

  R&D communities that have supported the model developments over the

  past two decades. Just a few years ago we may have seen this 7-10 day

  model forecast of TC genesis and shrugged our shoulders as a likely

  false alarm. Now, we take a serious notice, especially when there is

  a consensus solution, we then look for verification and, quite often,

  find it.

 

     "The global models will not always get it right these days, but I

  think we need to remember where we were just a few years ago in TC

  genesis prediction, and take our hats off to the NWP and data

  assimilation communities for the progress that has been made."

 

  (Report written by Kevin Boyle with Section E added by Gary Padgett)

 

 

 

                     ADDENDA TO NOVEMBER, 2006, SUMMARY

                     ----------------------------------

 

     At the time the November, 2006, summary was posted, Michael V. Padua

  of Naga city, Philippines, did not have all the data from his weather

  station recorded during Super Typhoon Durian collected and ready to

  send me. He has subsequently sent the information to me, but I forgot

  to include it in the March summary, so here it is:

 

  =========================================================================

 

  T2K Weather Station Extreme Observations

  Name: Super Typhoon Durian (Reming)

  Date: November 30, 2006

  Source: Davis Vantage Pro 2004 Version

 

  +Highest Wind speed recorded: 189.9 km/hr (NE) @ 3:46 pm (07:46 utc)

   Nov 30.

 

  +Highest 10-min. Wind Average: 125.5 km/hr (NORTH) @ 3:26 pm (07:26 utc)

   Nov 30.

 

  +Lowest Barometric Pressure (from 4:00 pm to 4:14 pm Nov 30): 962 hPa*

 

 

  + Rainstorm** (Nov 29-30, 2006 / 48 hour-reading): 7.19 inches

    (182.6 mm)

 

  + 24-hour Rainfall (Nov 30, 2006 / 12am to 12am): 6.15 inches

    (156.2 mm)

 

  + Highest Rain Rate (Nov 30, 2006 / 3:11pm to 3:12 pm): 41.1 inches

    (1,045 mm)***

 

  Note: * STY Durian's 962 hPa - was the lowest barometric pressure I have

          ever observed since STY Nina (Sisang) of Nov 26, 1987, which was

          my first typhoon observation.

 

       ** The data ended around 5:35pm when my rain gauge fell on the

          ground...so the rainfall may have reached more than 200 mm over

          Naga City. The rain stopped pouring around 10pm or 5 hours later.

 

      *** This is the highest rain rate my Davis Vantage Pro recorded since

          I installed the unit on July 24, 2004.

 

  Complete Raw Data:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/stormarchives/2006/observations/reming_raw_obs.htm

 

  Wind/Pressure Graphic Observation:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/stormarchives/2006/observations/Durian_t2kobs_grap
h.gif

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

 

  Activity for April: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E

 

  Activity for April: 1 subtropical depression

                       1 intense tropical cyclone **

 

  ** - system formed in March and was covered in March summary

 

 

                           Sources of Information

                           ----------------------

 

     The primary sources of tracking and intensity information for

  Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclones are the warnings issued by

  the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on La Reunion Island, part of

  Meteo France (MFR), and the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre

  for the basin. However, tropical cyclones in this region are named

  by the Sub-regional Tropical Cyclone Advisory Centres in Mauritius and

  Madagascar with longitude 55E being the demarcation line between their

  respective areas of naming responsibility. The La Reunion centre only

  advises these agencies regarding the intensity of tropical systems.

  References to sustained winds imply a 10-minute averaging period unless

  otherwise stated.

 

     In the companion tropical cyclone tracks file, I occasionally

  annotate positions from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning

  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl

  Harbor, Hawaii, when they differ from MFR's coordinates by usually

  40-50 nm or more. The JTWC warnings are also the source of the

  1-minute average maximum sustained wind values included in the

  tracks file. Additionally, information describing details of

  satellite imagery and atmospheric circulation features included in

  the narratives is often gleaned from the JTWC warnings.

 

 

              Southwest Indian Ocean Tropical Activity for April

              --------------------------------------------------

 

     As the month of April opened Intense Tropical Cyclone Jaya was headed

  for northern Madagascar. The storm made landfall there on the 3rd, but

  very fortunately had weakened to minimal cyclone (i.e., hurricane)

  intensity by the time it came ashore. The report on Jaya can be found

  in the March summary. A system of initially non-tropical origin formed

  in the western Mozambique Channel during the second week of the month and

  ultimately developed into a subtropical storm. A short report on this

  system follows. Other than these two systems, the Southwest Indian Ocean

  remained quiet during the month of April.

 

 

 

                          SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION

                                 (MFR-15)

                               9 - 12 April

                ------------------------------------------

 

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - Meteo France La Reunion (MFR)

     b. MFR - Subtropical Disturbance 15

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: Southwest Indian Ocean (SWI)

     b. Dates: 9 - 12 April, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 45 kts (10-min avg per MFR)

     d. Min Cent Press: 998 hPa (estimate per MFR)

 

  3. Beginning of Track: Apr 09/1200 UTC, near 21.7S/36.9E, or about

     160 nm southeast of Beira, Mozambique.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: Apr 11/1200 UTC, near 29.7S/39.6E, or about 450 nm

     east of Durban, South Africa. (It should be noted that MFR's MSW

     was at 45 kts from 11/1200 through 12/0000 UTC.)

 

  5. Size: At its peak Subtropical Depression 15 was a rather small

     system, with gales estimated to extend outward only 50 nm from the

     center.

 

  6. End of Track: Apr 12/1200 UTC, near 36.0S/46.0E, or about 850 nm

     east-southeast of Durban, South Africa.

 

 

  B. Discussion

  -------------

 

     RSMC La Reunion (MFR) issued a warning at 1200 UTC on 11 April for

  a system they had classified as Subtropical Depression 15, located about

  450 nm east of Durban, South Africa. The MSW was estimated at 45 kts

  with the system moving southward at 15 kts. While this was the first

  operational warning, a post-storm track available on MFR's website

  traces the system to a disturbance which at 1200 UTC on 9 April was

  located off the coast of Mozambique about 160 nm southeast of Beira.

  The LOW initially moved east-southeastward, gradually curving to the

  southeast and south and passing a short distance west of Europa Island

  on the 10th. The post-storm track classifies the system as a 30-kt

  tropical depression at 10/1800 UTC, and as a 35-kt subtropical depression

  at 11/0000 UTC while located approximately 300 nm southwest of Toliara,

  Madagascar.

 

     The 45-kt MSW in the first warning turned out to be the system's peak

  intensity. Following the issuance of the first warning at 11/1200 UTC,

  Subtropical Depression 15 began to accelerate off to the south-southeast,

  gradually weakening as it began to undergo extratropical transition. The

  fourth and final MFR warning, issued at 12/1200 UTC, classified the

  system as extratropical and placed the center about 850 nm east-southeast

  of Durban, moving southeastward at 23 kts.

 

     This system formed in the Mozambique Channel at the same time that the

  remnant LOW from former Intense Tropical Cyclone Jaya was still present

  west of northern Madagascar, which led to some speculation that the

  subtropical system was a possible redevelopment of Jaya. According to

  Philippe Caroff of RSMC La Reunion, this was not the case. Subtropical

  Depression 15's precursor formed on the western side of the Channel

  with the very weak remnant of Jaya to the northeast being absorbed

  into the developing system to the west.

 

  (Note: For subtropical systems MFR uses the term 'subtropical depression'

  for systems above gale force, even up to hurricane intensity, such as

  Subtropical Depression Luma in April, 2003, with maximum winds estimated

  at 65 kts. As for why Subtropical Depression 15 was not named, I do not

  know, but since Madagascar has naming responsibility for systems in the

  Southwest Indian Ocean west of 55E, my guess would be that they did not

  consider the system as qualifying for a name.)

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

     I have a couple of observations from Derrick Herdon on this system

  (a thanks to Derrick for sending them along). As the developing system

  passed west of Europa Island on the 10th, the station there reported

  a minimum MSLP of 1006 mb. Also, Subtropical Depression 15 passed over

  a buoy (14912) around 0200 UTC on 12 April, with the pressure having

  fallen from 1020 mb 24 hours earlier to 1002 mb. The center was near

  latitude 34S by that time so extratropical transition was likely well

  underway.

 

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - From 90E to 135E

 

  Activity for April: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - From 135E to 160E

 

  Activity for April: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E

 

  Activity for April: 1 tropical cyclone of storm intensity

 

 

                           Sources of Information

                           ----------------------

 

     The primary sources of tracking and intensity information for

  South Pacific tropical cyclones are the warnings and advisories

  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji (for

  waters north of latitude 25S), and Wellington, New Zealand (for

  waters south of latitude 25S). References to sustained winds imply

  a 10-minute averaging period unless otherwise stated.

 

     In the companion tropical cyclone tracks file, I occasionally

  annotate positions from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning

  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl

  Harbor, Hawaii, when they differ from the Southern Hemisphere

  centres' coordinates by usually 40-50 nm or more. The JTWC warnings

  are also the source of the 1-minute average maximum sustained wind

  values included in the tracks file. Additionally, information

  describing details of satellite imagery and atmospheric circulation

  features included in the narratives is often gleaned from the JTWC

  warnings.

 

 

                  South Pacific Tropical Activity for April

                  -----------------------------------------

 

     Tropical cyclone activity in the South Pacific basin east of 160E

  during the 2006-2007 season has been arranged into three well-defined

  periods separated by a month or more of quietude. The first period

  began with the formation of Tropical Depression 01F on 20 October,

  which became the intense Tropical Cyclone Xavier. Weak depressions

  02F and 03F followed in late October/early November, followed by

  Tropical Cyclone Yani (04F) during the latter part of November. This

  first spurt of activity ended with Tropical Depression 05F (TC-04P

  per JTWC) which had dissipated by 4 December. The tropical South

  Pacific lay depression-free the remainder of December and through the

  first week of the new year.

 

     The formation of Tropical Depression 06F during the second week of

  January heralded the advent of the second period of activity. TD-06F

  was quickly followed by the southeasterly "shooters" Tropical Cyclones

  Zita (07F) and Arthur (08F) with both almost reaching hurricane

  intensity. This second round of activity was capped off by Tropical

  Depression 09F, treated as TC-11P by JTWC, during early February. This

  system had dissipated by 5 February, and no depressions or cyclones

  stirred South Pacific waters until late in the third week of March.

 

     The third spurt of tropical cyclone activity began with the formation

  of Tropical Depression 12F on 21 March, and continued with Tropical

  Cyclone Becky (13F) during the closing days of March, another system

  which flirted with hurricane intensity (it was so classified by JTWC).

  This final (as of 8 June) round of storms concluded with Tropical Cyclone

  Cliff during the first week of April, a system which brought some strong

  winds and heavy rainfall to Fiji during its formative stages. A report

  on Cliff, authored by Simon Clarke, follows.

 

  

 

                         TROPICAL CYCLONE CLIFF

                            (TD-14F / TC-23P)

                               3 - 6 April

               ------------------------------------------

           

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - Nadi, Fiji/Wellington, New Zealand, TCWCs

     b. Fiji - Tropical Disturbance 14F

     c. JTWC - Tropical Cyclone 23P

     d. NAME - Cliff (named by Fiji at 04 Apr/0300 UTC)

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: South Pacific Ocean (SPA)

     b. Dates: 3 - 6 April, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 50 kts (10-min avg per Fiji)

                          55 kts (1-min avg per JTWC)

     d. Min Cent Press: 980 hPa (estimate per Fiji)

 

  3. Beginning of Track: Apr 03/0600 UTC, near 14.7S/176.5E, or about

     215 nm north-northwest of Suva, Fiji, as referenced in initial

     tropical disturbance summary issued by Nadi.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: Apr 05/0600 UTC, near 21.2S/177.3W, or about 125 nm

     west of Nuku'alofa. (It should be noted that Fiji's MSW was at

     50 kts from 05/0600 through 06/0600 UTC.)

 

  5. Size: Based on Fiji's warnings, at its peak Tropical Cyclone Cliff

     was a moderately small tropical cyclone with gales extending outward

     from the center 90 nm to the north and about 60 nm in the southern

     semicircle. However, JTWC's warnings described a smaller system with

     gale radii ranging from 45-60 nm.

 

  6. End of Track: Apr 06/1800 UTC, near 28.4S/167.1W, or about 600 nm

     southwest of Rarotonga.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

 

  1. Origin: The initial depression (TD-14F) existed for several days to

     the northwest of Fiji as a sheared system located in a highly-sheared

     environment. TD-14F gradually drifted toward the southeast and upon

     its approach to the northern Fijian island of Vanua Levu, this upper-

     level wind shear relaxed sufficiently to allow the depression to

     consolidate. The developing depression rounded the northeastern tip

     of Vanua Levu, and at 04/0455 UTC, TD-014F was located to the south-

     east of Vanua Levu, approximately 15 nm to the east of Taveuni Island,

     and was upgraded to cyclone status at this time as convection and

     gales wrapped tightly into the LLCC.

 

  2. General Description of Track: Cyclone Cliff continued to track to the

     south-southeast away from Vanua Levu at approximately 12 kts while

     gradually intensifying due to good equatorial and polar outflow and

     low to moderate upper-level shear. The peak intensity (estimated to

     be 980 hPa; max 10-min avg wind 50 kts) was attained at 05/0600 UTC

     approximately 125 nm west of Nuk'alofa, Tonga, and this intensity was

     sustained for 24 hours due to improved polar outflow. Thereafter,

     Cliff's increasing forward speed took the cyclone to the southeast and

     into cooler seas and into a much higher wind shear environment. The

     strongest thunderstorms gradually became displaced to the south of the

     LLCC and Cliff began the process of extratropical transition. A mid-

     level ridge to the northeast and an area of low pressure near New

     Zealand continued to accelerate Cliff to the southeast at 20 kts, and

     by 06/1200 UTC cyclone status was lost. The remnant depression

     continued to the southeast into open waters, eventually merging with

     a mid-latitude frontal boundary soon afterward about 600 nm southwest

     of Rarotonga.

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

     No meteorological data are available.

 

 

  D. Damage and Casualties

  ------------------------

 

     Cyclone Cliff's main effect was to bring further flooding to the

  northern parts of Fiji: the third time this season that flooding has

  hit Fiji's north where more than 20 deaths were reported earlier in the

  year.

 

     An additional casualty occurred as a 30-year old woman was swept from

  a flooded bridge at Nawaicoba near Nadi in the west, as TD-14F approached

  the northern islands of Fiji's Eastern Division. Thirty students at a

  primary school escaped serious injury when a landslide crashed into the

  walls of their hostel near Udu Point at the eastern extremity of Vanua

  Levu.

 

     Flooded roads, minor damage to buildings and cut communications and

  water supplies were reported in eastern parts of Vanua Levu and on

  Taveuni Island. The people of Taveuni reported the loss of

  "unaccountable acres" of crops as the developing cyclone passed close to

  the island.

 

     A resident of Tubou village in Lakeba confirmed that the roofs of

  some houses were blown off and that most of the crops had been damaged

  due to the strong winds. Extensive damage to crops and trees also

  occurred elsewhere on the islands in the Lau Group.

     

     There were no reports of any serious damage from southern Tonga.

 

  (Report written by Simon Clarke)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

         SPECIAL FEATURE - SOURCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION

 

     The purpose of this section is to list some websites where many and

  varied types of tropical cyclone information are archived. Many readers

  will know about these already, but for the benefit of those who don't,

  I wanted to include them.

 

  (1) Aircraft Reconnaissance Information

  ---------------------------------------

 

     Various types of messages from reconnaissance aircraft may be

  retrieved from the following FTP site:

 

     ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/products/nhc/recon/

 

     Information regarding how to interpret the coded reconnaissance

  messages may be found at the following URL:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml

 

  Links are also included to websites with further information about the

  U. S. Air Force 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and the NOAA Air-

  craft Operations Center.

 

  (2) Archived Advisories

  -----------------------

 

     All the advisory products (public advisories, forecast/advisories,

  strike probabilities, discussions, various graphics) issued by TPC/NHC

  are archived on TPC's website. For the current year (using 2004 as an

  example), the archived products can be found at:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/index.shtml

 

  Links to tropical products archives for earlier years are available at

  the following URL:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastall.shtml

 

  JTWC warnings for past storms are archived on the NRL Monterrey website:

 

     http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

 

  On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left

  corner of the screen.

 

     I am not aware at the moment of any other TCWC which archives all

  its tropical cyclone warning/advisory products for public access, but

  if I learn of any, I will add them to this list.

 

  (3) Satellite Imagery

  ---------------------

 

     Satellite images of tropical cyclones in various sensor bands are

  available on the NRL Monterrey and University of Wisconsin websites,

  courtesy of Jeff Hawkins and Chris Velden and their associates. The

  links are:

 

     http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

 

     http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html

 

  On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left

  corner of the screen. For the CIMSS site, a link to data archives is

  located in the lower left portion of the screen.

 

     Additional tropical satellite imagery, along with looping ability for

  composite microwave imagery for the Western Hemisphere north of the

  equator, can be found at:

 

  (1) For the Eastern North Pacific:

 

     http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-epac.html

 

  (2) For the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea:

 

     http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html

 

     I'm sure there are other sites with available imagery available, and

  as I learn of them, I will add the links to this list.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                               EXTRA FEATURE

 

     In order to shorten the amount of typing in preparing the narrative

  material, I have been in the habit of freely using abbreviations and

  acronyms. I have tried to define most of these with the first usage

  in a given summary, but I may have missed one now and then. Most of

  these are probably understood by a majority of readers but perhaps a

  few aren't clear to some. To remedy this I developed a Glossary of

  Abbreviations and Acronyms which I first included in the August, 1998

  summary. I don't normally include the Glossary in most months in

  order to help keep them from being too long. If anyone would like to

  receive a copy of the Glossary, please e-mail me and I'll be happy

  to send them a copy.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  AUTHOR'S NOTE: This summary should be considered a very preliminary

  overview of the tropical cyclones that occur in each month. The cyclone

  tracks (provided separately) will generally be based upon operational

  warnings issued by the various tropical cyclone warning centers. The

  information contained therein may differ somewhat from the tracking and

  intensity information obtained from a "best-track" file which is based

  on a detailed post-seasonal analysis of all available data. Information

  on where to find official "best-track" files from the various warning

  centers will be passed along from time to time.

 

    The track files are not being sent via e-mail. They can be retrieved

  from the archive sites listed below. (Note: I do have a limited e-mail

  distribution list for the track files. If anyone wishes to receive

  these via e-mail, please send me a message.)

 

    Both the summaries and the track files are standard text files

  created in DOS editor. Download to disk and use a viewer such as

  Notepad or DOS editor to view the files.

 

     The first summary in this series covered the month of October,

  1997. Back issues can be obtained from the following websites

  (courtesy of Michael Bath, Michael V. Padua, Michael Pitt, Chris

  Landsea, and John Diebolt):

 

    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/

    http://www.typhoon2000.ph <http://www.typhoon2000.ph/>

    http://mpittweather.com <http://mpittweather.com/>

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/

    http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/

 

 

     Another website where much information about tropical cyclones may

  be found is the website for the UK Meteorological Office. Their site

  contains a lot of statistical information about tropical cyclones

  globally on a monthly basis. The URL is:

 

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tropicalcyclone

    

 

                    TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORTS AVAILABLE

 

     JTWC now has available on its website the Annual Tropical Cyclone

  Report (ATCR) for 2005 (2004-2005 season for the Southern Hemisphere).

  ATCRs for earlier years are available also.

 

     The URL is: https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php

 

 

     Also, TPC/NHC has available on its webpage nice "technicolor"

  tracking charts for the 2006 Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific

  tropical cyclones; also, storm reports for all the 2006 Atlantic

  and Eastern North Pacific cyclones are now available, as well as

  track charts and reports on storms from earlier years.

 

     The URL is: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/>

 

 

     A special thanks to Michael Bath of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales,

  Australia, for assisting me with proofreading the summaries.

 

 

  PREPARED BY

 

  Gary Padgett

  E-mail: garyp@alaweb.com

  Phone: 334-222-5327

 

  Kevin Boyle (Northwest Pacific)

  E-mail: newchapelobservatory@btinternet.com

 

  Simon Clarke (Northeast Australia/Coral Sea, South Pacific)

  E-mail: scla4255@bigpond.net.au

 

  *************************************************************************

  *************************************************************************

 

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