SUMMARY: May TC Summary

From: Gary Padgett (garyp@ALAWEB.COM)
Date: Fri Jul 06 2007 - 15:02:14 EDT


 

                   MONTHLY GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY

 

                                  MAY, 2007

 

  (For general comments about the nature of these summaries, as well as

  information on how to download the tabular cyclone track files, see

  the Author's Note at the end of this summary.)

 

  SPECIAL NOTE - CYCLONE TRACKING INFORMATION

 

     There is a U. S. Navy site that tracks tropical cyclones at 6-hourly

  intervals which often includes pre and post-advisory positions. The

  link to the site is:

 

  http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/doc_archives/

 

  These tracks are often updated as further analysis occurs and may be

  considered as sort of a working "best track".

 

     Steve Young has compiled many of these tracks onto a single webpage

  which is very user-friendly:

 

  http://home.earthlink.net/~shy9/tc1.htm

 

  (I have also included the above information in the Sources of Tropical

  Cyclone Information section following the coverage of the various basins

  and will not repeat it here in subsequent summaries.)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                               MAY HIGHLIGHTS

 

  --> Subtropical storm forms off Southeast U. S. Coast

  --> Two tropical storms form in Northeast Pacific basin

  --> Strong typhoon in Northwest Pacific strikes Iwo Jima

  --> Cyclonic storm in Bay of Bengal strikes Bangladesh

  --> Short-lived weak cyclone near New Guinea concludes Southern

      Hemisphere season

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                           CYCLONE TRACK GRAPHICS

 

     John Diebolt of Tucson, Arizona, produces track graphics of all the

  tropical and subtropical systems for which I prepare a tabular track in

  the companion cyclone tracks file. These can be accessed at the

  following URL:

 

  http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/

 

  Scroll down the chart to the month of interest and click on the green

  bar under "Operational Track Image" for the desired system.

 

  The tabular track of positions and intensities may also be obtained

  from the above website, or from the other archival sites listed in

  the Author's Note in the closing section of this summary.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                     WIKIPEDIA TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORTS

 

     Short reports with satellite pictures and small-scale maps for all

  tropical cyclones may be found at the following links:

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_Atlantic_hurricane_season

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_Pacific_hurricane_season

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_Pacific_typhoon_season

 

  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_North_Indian_cyclone_season

 

 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006-07_Southern_Hemisphere_tropical_cyclone_se
ason

 

  For some storms more detailed reports have been prepared. In those cases

  I will include the specific links in the reports for the applicable

  tropical cyclones.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                 !!!!!!!!!!!! EXTRA FEATURE !!!!!!!!!!!

 

                 GLOSSARY of ABBREVIATIONS and ACRONYMS

 

  AOML/HRD - Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory/

             Hurricane Research Division, located on Virginia Key, Miami,

             Florida, U.S.A.

 

  AOR - area of responsibility

 

  BoM - Australia's Bureau of Meteorology

 

  CDO - central dense overcast

 

  CI - current intensity

 

  CIMSS - Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies

            (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

 

  CP - central pressure

 

  CPHC - Central Pacific Hurricane Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, U.S.A.

 

  CWBT - Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan

 

  FLW - flight level wind (or winds)

 

  FTP - file transfer protocol

 

  H - hurricane, a tropical cyclone with a peak 1-min avg

            MSW >= 64 kts

 

  HD - hurricane day, four 6-hour periods in which a H is operating

 

  HKO - Hong Kong Observatory

 

  hPa - hectopascal, numerically equivalent to millibar

 

  HPC - Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs,

            Maryland

 

  IH - intense hurricane, a tropical cyclone with a peak 1-min avg

            MSW >= 96 kts

 

  IHD - intense hurricane day, four 6-hour periods in which an IH is

            operating

 

  IMD - India Meteorological Department (RSMC New Delhi, India)

 

  JMA - Japanese Meteorological Agency (RSMC Tokyo, Japan)

 

  JTWC - Joint Typhoon Warning Center, formerly on Guam, now at

            Pearl Harbor, Hawaii

 

  km - kilometer, or kilometre

 

  kt - knot = 1 nautical mile per hour

 

  LLCC - low-level circulation center

         

  m - meter, or metre

 

  mb - millibar, numerically equivalent to hectopascal (hPa)

 

  MFR - Meteo France on Reunion Island

 

  mm - millimeter

 

  MSW - maximum sustained wind(s) (either 1-min avg or 10-min avg)

 

  nm - nautical mile = 6076.12 feet or 1852.0 meters

 

  NMCC - National Meteorological Center of China

 

  NPMOC - Naval Pacific Meteorological and Oceanographic Center, Pearl

            Harbor, Hawaii, U.S.A.

 

  NS - named storm, a tropical or subtropical cyclone with a peak

            1-min avg MSW >= 34 kts (Note: Term frequently used for

            systems occurring prior to formal naming of TCs and for

            unnamed systems analyzed to be TCs in post-season analysis.)

 

  NSD - named storm day, four 6-hour periods in which a NS is operating

 

  NTC - net tropical cyclone activity, and index of overall tropical

            cyclone activity, comprised of an average of the averages of

            the six parameters NS, NSD, H, HD, IH, and IHD calculated for

            some specified period of record

 

  PAGASA - Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services

            Administration

 

  RSMC - Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre

 

  SLP - sea level pressure

 

  SST - sea surface temperature

 

  STS - severe tropical storm (MSW greater than 47 kts)

 

  STWO - Significant Tropical Weather Outlook - bulletin issued

            daily by JTWC giving information about various areas of

            disturbed weather and the potential for tropical cyclone

            development

 

  TC - tropical cyclone

 

  TCFA - Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert - issued by JTWC when a

            tropical cyclone is expected to develop within the next

            24 hours

 

  TCWC - Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (generic term)

 

  TD - tropical depression

 

  TPC/NHC - Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami,

            Florida, U.S.A.

 

  TS - tropical storm

 

  WMO - World Meteorological Organization, headquartered at Geneva,

            Switzerland

 

  UTC - Universal Time Coordinated, equivalent to Greenwich Mean Time

            or Zulu (Z)

 

  *************************************************************************

  

                            ACTIVITY BY BASINS

 

  ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico

 

  Activity for May: 1 subtropical storm

 

 

                          Sources of Information

                          ----------------------

 

     Most of the information presented below was obtained from the

  various tropical cyclone products issued by the Tropical Prediction

  Center/National Hurricane Center (TPC/NHC) in Miami, Florida:

  discussions, public advisories, forecast/advisories, tropical weather

  outlooks, special tropical disturbance statements, etc. Some

  additional information may have been gleaned from the monthly

  summaries prepared by the hurricane specialists and available on

  TPC/NHC's website. All references to sustained winds imply a

  1-minute averaging period unless otherwise noted.

 

 

                    Atlantic Tropical Activity for May

                    ----------------------------------

 

     An extratropical LOW off the southeastern U. S. coast in early May

  subsequently evolved into Subtropical Storm Andrea--the first named

  storm in the month of May in the Atlantic basin since Tropical Storm

  Arlene in 1981. Andrea did not make the transition into a fully

  tropical storm, so 26 seasons have now elapsed without a tropical storm

  in May--the longest such period since prior to 1932. Since 1932, the

  pervious longest period without a tropical storm in May has been

  11 years: from 1959 to 1970, and from 1970 to 1981. May tropical storms

  have formed in 1932, 1933, 1934, 1940, 1948, 1951, 1953, 1959, 1970 and

  1981. No officially-recognized subtropical storms have occurred in May

  since 1976, but there are some candidates which may be added to the

  Atlantic Best Tracks database during the ongoing re-analysis. Andrea

  is the fifth subtropical storm to be named since a change in operational

  procedure in late 2001 led to the practice of naming subtropical storms

  from the list of tropical cyclone names. A report on Subtropical Storm

  Andrea follows.

 

     An area of disturbed weather in the Northwest Caribbean Sea late in

  the month spawned an area of low pressure near western Cuba which moved

  northward into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. On the first day of

  June a tropical depression formed which later in the day became Tropical

  Storm Barry--the first fully tropical storm of the season. A report on

  Barry will be included in the June summary.

 

     The official TPC/NHC storm report on Andrea (as well as Barry) is

  already available at the following link:

 

  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2007atlan.shtml

 

 

 

                        SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA

                                 (TC-01)

                               6 - 14 May

              --------------------------------------------

 

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center

               (NHC), Miami, Florida

     b. NHC - Subtropical Cyclone 01

     c. NAME - Andrea (named by NHC at May 09/1500 UTC)

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: Atlantic Ocean (ATL)

     b. Dates: 6 - 14 May, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 40 kts (1-min avg per NHC)

     d. Min Cent Press: 1002 hPa (estimate per NHC)

 

     Note: The MSW and CP above are for the subtropical portion of

     Andrea's history. Based on OPC's High Seas Forecasts, the parent

     extratropical storm had winds to 70 kts with an estimated pressure

     998 hPa before transition to a subtropical storm occurred.

 

  3. Beginning of Track: May 06/1200 UTC, near 35.0N/74.0W, or about

     75 nm east-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: May 09/1200 UTC, near 30.8N/79.1W, or about 120 nm

     southeast of Savannah, Georgia. (It should be noted that NHC's MSW

     was at 40 kts from 09/1200 through 10/1200 UTC. Also, see note

     above under sub-section A.2.)

 

  5. Size: At Andrea's peak as a subtropical storm, gales extended

     outward from the center 100 nm in the eastern semicircle and 60 nm

     in the western semicircle.

 

  6. End of Track: May 14/1200 UTC, near 32.0N/64.0W, or about 50 nm

     east-southeast of Bermuda.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

 

  1. Origin: Subtropical Storm Andrea was the first named Atlantic system

     to form in the month of May since Tropical Storm Arlene in 1981, which

     developed in the Northwestern Caribbean during the first week of the

     month. The system was also the first pre-season storm to form since

     April, 2003, when Tropical Storm Ana formed in the same general area.

     Andrea's origin lay with an extratropical cyclone which formed in

     association with an upper-level trough over the western Atlantic

     Ocean. Models were calling for a closed low-pressure area to form,

     and by 1200 UTC on 6 May a frontal LOW with gale-force winds had

     formed and lay centered about 75 nm east-southeast of Cape Hatteras,

     North Carolina. Due mainly to a very tight pressure gradient with

     a strong HIGH to the north, the LOW quickly strengthened and within

     12 hours was producing 70-kt winds, as reported in OPC's High Seas

     Forecasts. Over the next few days the LOW drifted generally in a

     southerly direction off the coasts of South Carolina and Georgia.

 

     As the pressure gradient weakened, the winds slowly lessened. The

     LOW from the first had been accompanied by some scattered convection,

     and by the 8th the convection had increased to the point that NHC

     began to mention the possibility of tropical or subtropical storm

     genesis. The system became stationary for awhile on the 8th, then

     began to drift slowly westward on the 9th. An Air Force

     reconnaissance plane investigated the LOW on the morning of 9 May for

     several hours. The plane found a rather flat temperature profile with

     neither a discernible warm nor cold core at any vertical level.

     Satellite imagery indicated that convection had consolidated closer to

     the center as compared to the previous day, and there was also a hint

     of upper-level outflow, which had been completely absent the previous

     day. Also, the radius of maximum winds had contracted to about

     50-60 nm from more than 100 nm on the 8th. All this indicated that

     the LOW had acquired a hybrid structure; hence, advisories were

     initiated on Subtropical Storm Andrea at 09/1500 UTC. Andrea's

     center was located about 120 nm southeast of Savannah, Georgia, and

     was drifting very slowly westward. Even though the storm had made

     the transition from an extratropical to a subtropical cyclone, the

     peak winds had weakened, and the initial advisory estimated the

     MSW at 40 kts, which turned out to be the peak for the subtropical

     portion of Andrea's history.

 

  2. General Description of Track: By the afternoon of 9 May Andrea had

     embarked on a slow, almost due south, track off the northeastern

     Florida coast. Almost immediately after being named the subtropical

     storm's appearance in satellite imagery began to deteriorate. A

     combination of dry air, some northwesterly shear, and SSTs of 25 C

     or less created an environment which was certainly not conducive for

     strengthening of a tropical or subtropical storm. The NHC discussion

     at 10/0300 UTC noted that Andrea consisted of several small swirls

     embedded within a larger circulation. Most of the associated weather

     was located in the eastern half of the circulation within a band of

     moderate convection. By 1500 UTC the deep convection was disappearing

     quickly with only a few thunderstorms remaining in the northeastern

     quadrant. Since the strongest flight-level winds measured by a

     reconnaissance plane at 300 m were less than 40 kts, Andrea was down-

     graded at 10/1500 UTC to a subtropical depression. The final NHC

     advisory on Andrea was issued at 11/0300 UTC, placing the remnant

     LOW about 70 nm northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida.

 

     Andrea's remnant LOW continued to drift southward for another day or

     so, then began to track generally toward the northeast. As the system

     continued to pull away from the U. S. coast, environmental shear

     decreased and deep convection began to flare up, helping to regenerate

     a rather tight, tropical-like, circulation center. A visible image

     taken at 1645 UTC on 13 May shows a small eye-like feature, and a

     BYU QuikScat/Hires wind speed product at 13/0938 UTC also gave

     indications of a tight circulation center with estimated winds of

     over 40 kts. It seems possible that Andrea may have made the

     transition to a more tropical system on the 12th and 13th and possibly

     even briefly reached tropical storm intensity. It will be

     interesting to see if such a determination is made during post-storm

     analysis. Andrea continued to accelerate east-northeastward ahead

     of an approaching front and apparently was absorbed by another

     extratropical LOW center around 1200 UTC on 14 May about 50 nm east-

     southeast of Bermuda.

 

     The Wikipedia report on Subtropical Storm Andrea may be accessed at

     the following URL:

 

     http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subtropical_Storm_Andrea_%282007%29

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

     Most of the significant weather felt along the southeastern U. S.

  coastline occurred during the early extratropical stage of Andrea.

  According to the Wikipedia report, winds reached 45 kts in Norfolk,

  Virginia, with an unofficial report of 50 kts near Virginia Beach.

  A storm tide of 2.43 m was recorded at St. Simons Island, Georgia.

  With most of the convection east of the center, rainfall amounts were

  generally rather light, which was unfortunate due to the extremely

  dry conditions and widespread wildfires prevalent across northeastern

  Florida and southeastern Georgia.

 

 

  D. Damage and Casualties

  ------------------------

 

     High waves generated by both the extratropical LOW and Subtropical

  Storm Andrea caused significant beach erosion and damage to boats and

  shore structures from Virginia to Florida. In Virginia and the Outer

  Banks of North Carolina there was some wind damage to roofs and trees

  with some power outages resulting from tree limbs being blown onto

  power lines. There was hope that Andrea might produce enough rainfall

  to help douse the extensive wildfires burning in southern Georgia and

  northern Florida. However, rainfall was light, and the gusty winds

  instead fanned the flames, helping to spread the fires and interfering

  with firefighting efforts. The winds spread smoke from the fires all

  the way to Miami.

 

     A boat off the Outer Banks with four occupants aboard was reported

  missing and remained so after twelve days. Rough waves from the parent

  extratropical LOW left two kayakers missing near Seabrook Island, South

  Carolina. One was found the next day, but the other was found dead a

  week later. One surfer drowned in the rough seas at New Smyrna Beach,

  Florida.

 

     More details regarding the impacts of Subtropical Storm Andrea may be

  found in the online Wikipedia report, from which most of the information

  in the preceding two sections was taken.

 

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180

 

  Activity for May: 2 tropical storms

 

 

                          Sources of Information

                          ----------------------

 

     Most of the information presented below was obtained from the

  various tropical cyclone products issued by the Tropical Prediction

  Center/National Hurricane Center (TPC/NHC) in Miami, Florida (or the

  Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) in Honolulu, Hawaii, for

  locations west of longitude 140W): discussions, public advisories,

  forecast/advisories, tropical weather outlooks, special tropical

  disturbance statements, etc. Some additional information may have

  been gleaned from the monthly summaries prepared by the hurricane

  specialists and available on TPC/NHC's website. All references to

  sustained winds imply a 1-minute averaging period unless otherwise

  noted.

 

 

                Northeast Pacific Tropical Activity for May

                -------------------------------------------

 

     Two tropical storms formed in the Eastern North Pacific during May

  for the first time since 1984. The only other such occasion was in

  1956. Over the period 1971-2006, the May averages for the Northeast

  Pacific basin are:

 

                   NS - 0.56 NSD - 1.85

                   H - 0.29 HD - 0.49

                   IH - 0.06 IHD - 0.08

 

  Neither storm reached hurricane intensity, and the two cyclones combined

  yielded a total of 2.75 NSD (during May, that is--Barbara generated an

  additional 1.25 NSD in early June). So, all things considered, tropical

  cyclone activity during May was about average. Reports on Tropical

  Storms Alvin and Barbara follow.

 

     The official TPC/NHC report on Tropical Storm Alvin is already

  available at the following link:

 

  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2007epac.shtml

 

 

 

                          TROPICAL STORM ALVIN

                                (TC-01E)

                              27 - 31 May

                ----------------------------------------

 

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center

               (NHC), Miami, Florida

     b. NHC - Tropical Cyclone 01E

     c. NAME - Alvin (named by NHC at May 29/0300 UTC)

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: Northeast Pacific Ocean (NEP)

     b. Dates: 27 - 31 May, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 35 kts (1-min avg per NHC)

     d. Min Cent Press: 1004 hPa (estimate per NHC)

 

  3. Beginning of Track: May 27/0000 UTC, near 12.6N/110.6W, or about

     550 nm southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: May 29/0000 UTC, near 12.6N/113.4W, or about

     650 nm southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. (It should be noted that

     NHC's MSW was at 35 kts from 29/0000 through 30/0600 UTC.)

 

  5. Size: At its peak Tropical Storm Alvin was a rather small tropical

     cyclone with gales extending outward from the center 50 nm in all

     quadrants.

 

  6. End of Track: May 31/1800 UTC, near 12.8N/116.0W, or about 450 nm

     southwest of Socorro Island.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

 

  1. Origin: Over the 30-year period 1970-1999, the first Eastern North

     Pacific tropical storm appeared in May thirteen times, or in 43% of

     the years. However, beginning in 2000, the first named NEP system

     has formed in late May every year, and 2007 was no exception. A

     tropical wave entered the Eastern North Pacific on 18 May and moved

     westward over the next few days with little development. By 24 May

     a broad area of low pressure had formed along the wave about 475 nm

     south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Organization gradually

     increased and the system was classified as Tropical Depression 01E

     early on 27 May while centered about 550 nm southwest of Manzanillo.

 

     The depression struggled in a less-than-optimum thermodynamic

     environment, and later on the 27th the convection weakened and the

     system was barely classifiable as a tropical depression. Also, TD-01E

     was competing for inflow with another disturbance to its southeast

     (which ultimately developed into Tropical Storm Barbara). Convection

     began to redevelop on the 28th and the depression was upgraded to

     Tropical Storm Alvin early on the 29th while located approximately

     650 nm southwest of Manzanillo.

 

  2. General Description of Track: Throughout its existence Tropical Storm

     Alvin moved on a generally slow westerly track. The cyclone did not

     intensify beyond minimal tropical storm intensity, and by late on the

     29th convection was diminishing again. Alvin was downgraded back to

     tropical depression status at 0900 UTC on 30 May and continued to

     slowly weaken as it plodded westward. By the morning of 31 May Alvin

     had lost all its deep convection, and at 2100 UTC that afternoon NHC

     issued its final advisory on the system, downgrading it to a remnant

     LOW located about 450 nm southwest of Socorro Island. The remnant

     LOW subsequently drifted westward for the better part of a week with

     convection intermittently flaring up within the circulation. By

     early on 4 June convection had increased to the point that NHC

     considered redevelopment a possibility. However, by the 6th the

     thunderstorm activity had diminished and further development was not

     anticipated.

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

     No observations taken in association with Tropical Storm Alvin are

  available.

 

 

  D. Damage and Casualties

  ------------------------

 

     No damage or casualties are known to have resulted from Tropical

  Storm Alvin.

 

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

 

 

  

                          TROPICAL STORM BARBARA

                                 (TC-02E)

                             29 May - 2 June

                ------------------------------------------

 

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center

               (NHC), Miami, Florida

     b. NHC - Tropical Cyclone 02E

     c. NAME - Barbara (named by NHC at May 30/1500 UTC)

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: Northeast Pacific Ocean (NEP)

     b. Dates: 29 May - 2 June, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 45 kts (1-min avg per NHC)

     d. Min Cent Press: 1000 hPa (estimate per NHC)

 

  3. Beginning of Track: May 29/1800 UTC, near 14.2N/97.7W, or about

     200 nm southwest of Salina Cruz, Mexico.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: June 01/1800 UTC, near 13.3N/94.1W, or about

     200 nm south-southeast of Salina Cruz, Mexico. (It should be noted

     that NHC's MSW was at 45 kts from 01/1800 through 02/1800 UTC.)

 

  5. Size: At its peak Tropical Storm Barbara was a rather small tropical

     cyclone with gale radii of 60 nm in the eastern semicircle and around

     40 nm in the western quadrants. However, shortly before landfall in

     Mexico the gale radii were estimated at only 30 nm in all quadrants.

 

  6. End of Track: June 02/2100 UTC, near 15.5N/92.2W, or inland in

     extreme southeastern Mexico near the Guatemalan border.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

 

  1. Origin: A slow-moving tropical wave emerged from Central America

     into the Eastern North Pacific on 24 May, producing disorganized

     showers and thunderstorms for the next couple of days. On 28 May

     a small area of low pressure formed a couple hundred miles southwest

     of the Gulf of Tehuantepec as the wave interacted with the ITCZ.

     Convection became better organized on the 29th and advisories on

     Tropical Depression 02E were initiated at 2100 UTC with the center

     located approximately 200 nm southwest of Salina Cruz, Mexico, or

     about 100 nm southwest of Puerto Angel. The development of this

     system in fairly close proximity to Tropical Storm Alvin was one of

     the factors which helped to inhibit Alvin from strengthening by

     competing with the storm for inflow. TD-02E moved slowly south-

     eastward and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Barbara at 1500 UTC

     on 30 May while located about 180 nm southwest of Salina Cruz.

 

     The formation of two tropical storms during the month of May has not

     occurred in the Eastern North Pacific basin since 1984, when Alma and

     Boris both formed during the latter part of May. Tropical Storm Alma

     formed on 17 May very deep in the tropics far to the south of Acapulco

     and became a tropical storm the next day, peaking at 50 kts on 19 May.

     Alma followed an extremely straight westerly track, dissipating far

     to the southwest of Baja California. Remarkably, the center of

     Tropical Storm Alma remained below 10N, the northernmost latitude of

     its entire track being 9.6N.

 

     The second May storm of 1984, Hurricane Boris, formed on 28 May south

     of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in the same general region that this year's

     Barbara developed. Boris quickly reached tropical storm intensity as

     it moved west-northwestward roughly parallel to the Mexican coastline,

     and very briefly became a 65-kt hurricane on the 30th while southeast

     of Acapulco. The storm then began to weaken and was downgraded to a

     tropical depression south of Acapulco on 1 June. Boris spent almost

     two weeks as a weak depression (at times only 20 kts), describing a

     counter-clockwise loop south of Acapulco, then embarking on a slow

     westerly course just south of the 15th parallel. Finally, on 13 June

     while located several hundred miles south of the tip of the Baja,

     Boris regained tropical storm intensity and turned to a north-

     northwesterly track, peaking at 50 kts on the 14th. Upon reaching

     the 20th parallel on 17 June, Boris turned back to the west-northwest

     and quickly dissipated. The entire lifespan of Hurricane Boris

     extended from 28 May through 18 June, making it certainly one of the

     longer-lived Eastern North Pacific cyclones on record, especially

     among those storms whose entire tracks lay east of longitude 140W.

 

  2. General Description of Track: Tropical Storm Barbara moved initially

     south-southeastward and later eastward due to the steering influence

     of an upper-level trough over the Gulf of Mexico. A ridge extended

     southeastward from the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, and after Barbara

     had tracked eastward to just east of the 95th meridian, a weakness

     developed in the ridge which allowed the tropical cyclone to track

     northeastward toward the Central American coast. Barbara reached an

     initial peak intensity of 40 kts at 1800 UTC on 30 May. However, an

     increase in vertical shear and a decrease in low-level inflow on the

     31st resulted in some weakening and Barbara was downgraded to a

     tropical depression early on 1 June. Later in the day, however,

     banding features began to redevelop and a QuikScat overpass indicated

     the existence of a well-defined circulation.

 

     Barbara was re-upgraded to tropical storm status at 01/1500 UTC, and

     in a relatively favorable environment, soon reached its peak intensity

     of 45 kts. The storm took aim at the border between Mexico and

     Guatemala, moving inland shortly after 1200 UTC on 2 June. Satellite

     imagery indicated that a low-level eye feature developed shortly

     before landfall. Once inland, the cyclone began to quickly weaken

     over the mountainous terrain and NHC issued the final advisory on

     the system at 02/2100 UTC with the center located about 65 km north-

     northeast of Tapachula, Mexico. The exact point of landfall appeared

     to be in Mexico about 25 nm west of the Guatemalan border.

 

     The Wikipedia report on Tropical Storm Barbara may be accessed at

     the following URL:

 

     http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Barbara_%282007%29

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

     As Barbara moved inland an automated surface observation from the

  Mexican Navy at Puerto Madero reported 31-kt winds with gusts to 46 kts

  and a pressure of 1003.4 mb. An observation at Tapachula reported a

  pressure of 1005.1 mb.

 

 

  D. Damage and Casualties

  ------------------------

 

     According to the online Wikipedia report, damage from Barbara was

  minor, limited to downed light poles, damaged roofs, and a brief power

  outage. In Ocos, Guatemala, near the border, the roofs of about a dozen

  palm huts were destroyed and heavy rainfall led to some flooding--the

  island of Ocos was separated from the mainland after a bridge was washed

  away.

 

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180

 

  Activity for May: 1 typhoon

 

 

                          Sources of Information

                          ----------------------

 

     Most of the information presented below is based upon tropical

  cyclone warnings and significant tropical weather outlooks issued

  by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U. S. Air Force and

  Navy (JTWC), located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. In the companion

  tropical cyclone tracks file, I normally annotate track coordinates

  from some of the various Asian warning centers when their center

  positions differ from JTWC's by usually 40-50 nm or more. All

  references to sustained winds imply a 1-minute averaging period

  unless otherwise noted.

 

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the

  Typhoon 2000 website, normally sends me cyclone tracks based upon

  warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) and the

  Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services

  Administration (PAGASA). A very special thanks to Michael for the

  assistance he so reliably provides.

  

      In the title line for each storm I have referenced all the cyclone

  names/numbers I have available: JTWC's depression number, the

  JMA-assigned name (if any), JMA's tropical storm numeric designator,

  and PAGASA's name for systems forming in or passing through their

  area of warning responsibility.

 

 

                Northwest Pacific Tropical Activity for May

                -------------------------------------------

 

     Only one tropical cyclone came to life in the Northwest Pacific basin

  during May, but it became a very impressive storm. Typhoon Yutu followed

  a typical recurving track from deep in the tropics, passing near Yap,

  and recurving approximately halfway between Luzon and the Marianas.

  Yutu peaked at 125 kts (per JTWC's analysis), only 5 kts shy of super

  typhoon status. As the storm began to accelerate northeastward, it

  passed very near the tiny island of Iwo Jima. A report on Typhoon Yutu,

  authored by Kevin Boyle, follows.

 

 

 

                                TYPHOON YUTU

                         (TC-02W / TY 0702 / AMANG)

                                 15 - 25 May

               ----------------------------------------------

 

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - Japanese Meteorological Agency, Tokyo (JMA)

     b. JMA - Typhoon 0702

     c. JTWC - Tropical Cyclone 02w

     d. NAME - Yutu (named by JMA at May 17/0600 UTC; name contributed

               to the regional list by China, and is the Jade Hare.

               The hare which lives on the moon. Chang'e, wife of Yi

               (a tribal chief in ancient China), stole her husband's

               elixir of immortality, and fled to the moon together

               with the hare. They are said to be still living there

               in a palace.)

     e. PAGASA - Typhoon Amang

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: Northwest Pacific Ocean (NWP)

     b. Dates: 15 - 25 May, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 125 kts (1-min avg per JTWC)

                          95 kts (10-min avg per JMA)

     d. Min Cent Press: 935 hPa (estimate per JMA)

 

  3. Beginning of Track: May 15/0600 UTC, near 8.8N/146.5E, or about

     300 nm south-southeast of Guam, as referenced in a High Seas bulletin

     issued by JMA.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: May 20/1200 UTC, near 19.8N/135.3E, or about

     450 nm southwest of Iwo Jima.

 

  5. Size: At its peak Typhoon Yutu was an average-sized cyclone with

     gale radii averaging between 120-140 nm.

 

  6. End of Track: May 25/0600 UTC, near 37.0N/173.0W, or about 575 nm

     north-northeast of Midway Island.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

  

  1. Origin: Typhoon Yutu was first mentioned as a disturbance in JTWC's

     STWO at 1300 UTC 13 May, located approximately 120 nm southwest of

     Chuuk. The system passed 260 nm south of Guam on 15 May, and a TCFA

     was issued at 15/1030 UTC, based on significant consolidation of the

     system over the previous 12 hours. Convection was mostly confined to

     the northern periphery of the disturbance with weak, convective

     banding developing in the western and southern quadrants. Remarks in

     a 2nd TCFA at 16/1030 UTC included: "Recent enhanced infrared

     satellite imagery indicates an increasingly well-defined LLCC also

     evident in a 16/0807 UTC microwave satellite pass. The disturbance

     continues to organize slowly, with the strongest convection persisting

     in a zone of low-level convergence east of the LLCC. Upper-level

     analysis reveals good poleward and equatorward diffluence associated

     with ridging aloft.

 

  2. General Description of Track: The first warning on Tropical

     Depression 02W at 1200 UTC 16 May placed the centre approximately

     320 nm east of Yap. Drifting westwards south of a subtropical ridge,

     TD-02W intensified and was upgraded to a tropical storm by both JMA

     and JTWC at 0600 UTC 17 May while passing near Yap, the name being

     assigned by JMA. Turning west-northwestward, Yutu continued to

     strengthen and became a typhoon on 18 May. On 19 May Yutu veered

     northwards into a weakness in the subtropical ridge induced by a

     mid-latitude trough over Korea and northeastern China. The typhoon

     continued to intensify and reached its peak intensity of 125 kts at

     20/1200 UTC, around 24 hours after reaching its recurvature point.

     Continuing northeast, Yutu began to slowly weaken, passing very near

     Iwo Jima on 21 May. Extratropical transition was completed by 22 May.

     The remnant extratropical gale moved quickly east-northeastward across

     the North Pacific, crossing the Dateline around 1800 UTC on 24 May.

     By 25/0600 UTC the system had weakened to 30 kts near 37.0N/173.0W.

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

  1. The highest wind gust reported on Iwo Jima was 104 kts at 1500 UTC

     21 May with a sustained wind of 68 kts at 21/1440 UTC. The lowest

     pressure was 976 mb at 21/1500 UTC.

 

  2. A peak wind gust of 34 kt was observed on Yap at 1353 UTC 17 May.

 

  D. Damage and Casualties

  ------------------------

 

     There were no reports of damage or casualties associated with Typhoon

  Yutu.

 

  (Report written by Kevin Boyle)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

 

  Activity for May: 1 depression **

                     1 cyclonic storm

 

  ** - not treated as a tropical depression by JTWC

 

 

                          Sources of Information

                          ----------------------

 

     Most of the information presented below is based upon tropical

  cyclone warnings and significant tropical weather outlooks issued

  by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U. S. Air Force and

  Navy (JTWC), located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some

  information may be gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks

  and other bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department

  (IMD), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional

  Specialised Meteorological Centre (RSMC) for the basin.

 

     The reported maximum sustained winds (MSW) are based on a 1-minute

  averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military

  weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic

  observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and

  3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to

  modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;

  hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied. In the North Indian Ocean

  basin JTWC usually does not initiate warnings until a system has

  become well-organized and likely to attain tropical storm status

  within 48 hours.

 

 

            NOTE ON WIND AVERAGING TIMES IN THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN

            ------------------------------------------------------

 

     As a result of some discussion with one of the Wikipedia writers who

  covers many Indian Ocean cyclones, I revisited the wind averaging issue

  with Dr. O. P. Singh, formerly associated with RSMC New Delhi but now the

  new Director of Satellite Meteorology in IMD. Dr. Singh reconfirmed what

  is stated above--that IMD does not modify the Dvorak scale when

  estimating the peak winds in tropical cyclones. This was very apparent

  in some of the advisories on Super Cyclonic Storm Gonu in June which

  gave the analyzed Dvorak CI number as well as the estimated maximum

  sustained wind.

 

     However, another party within IMD stated to the Wikipedia writer that

  their cyclone winds were assumed to be 3-minute averages. Therefore, the

  Wikipedia reports for the North Indian Ocean cyclones have been modified

  to indicate that the official RSMC wind estimates are 3-minute averages.

  Obviously, the difference between a peak 1-minute average and a peak

  3-minute average would be negligible--far less than the average error

  inherent in estimating tropical cyclone intensity using the Dvorak

  method.

 

 

               North Indian Ocean Tropical Activity for May

               --------------------------------------------

 

     The North Indian Ocean basin, encompassing the Bay of Bengal and the

  Arabian Sea, is the least active of the world's tropical cyclone basins,

  averaging about 5 NS per year. (This is based on the period 1981-2002.)

  November is the most active month (1.5 NS) while October is the second-

  most active (1.0 NS). Most activity occurs in the spring and autumn

  transition seasons when the ITCZ is moving northward and southward

  through the region. The months of October-December produce about 61% of

  all NS, while about 27% form during the months of May and June. The

  2007 season began right on schedule when Cyclonic Storm Akash formed in

  mid-May in the Bay of Bengal and tracked steadily northward toward a

  landfall in Bangladesh. A report on this system follows.

 

     Earlier, another system was classified as a depression by the Thai

  and Indian Meteorological Services. This system formed late in April

  east of the Malay Peninsula (actually in the Northwest Pacific basin)

  and drifted westward, crossing the Peninsula and entering the Andaman

  Sea. IMD designated the disturbance as a depression on 3 May after it

  had strengthened slightly. The depression subsequently moved northward

  and made a second landfall in Myanmar on 5 May. This system brought

  significant rainfall to portions of Thailand. JTWC mentioned this

  system in the daily STWOs for a few days, and assigned a development

  potential of 'fair' on 1 May, but no TCFA was ever issued. JTWC

  estimated the maximum intensity at 20-25 kts, which corroborates well

  with IMD's classification as a depression (as opposed to a 'deep

  depression'). More information on this system can be found in the

  Wikipedia report, from which some of the above information was obtained.

 

 

 

                          CYCLONIC STORM AKASH

                                (TC-01B)

                              12 - 15 May

                ----------------------------------------

 

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - India Meteorological Department (IMD), New Delhi

     b. JTWC - Tropical Cyclone 01B

     c. NAME - Akash (named by IMD at May 14/0000 UTC; name contributed

               to the regional list by India)

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: North Indian Ocean (NIO)

     b. Dates: 12 - 15 May, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 65 kts (1-min avg per JTWC)

                          45 kts (1-min avg per IMD)

     d. Min Cent Press: 988 hPa (estimate per IMD)

 

  3. Beginning of Track: May 12/1800 UTC, near 14.4N/90.6E, or about

     500 nm south-southwest of Chittagong, Bangladesh, as referenced

     in a satellite bulletin from JTWC.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: May 14/1800 UTC, near 21.4N/92.1E, or about 65 nm

     south-southeast of Chittagong, Bangladesh.

 

  5. Size: At its peak Cyclonic Storm Akash was a fairly small tropical

     cyclone with gale radii of 55-65 nm to the north and 70 nm in the

     southern semicircle.

 

  6. End of Track: May 15/0000 UTC, near 22.4N/92.4E, or inland about

     45 km east-southeast of Chittagong, Bangladesh.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

 

  1. Origin: Cyclonic Storm Akash, the first tropical cyclone of tropical

     storm or hurricane intensity in the North Indian Ocean during 2007,

     had its origins within an area of convection which developed in the

     Bay of Bengal and at 12 May 1000 UTC was located about 320 nm west-

     southwest of Yangon, Myanmar. A LLCC was consolidating with

     convection present along the periphery. Vertical shear was moderate

     and divergence aloft was weak but improving. JTWC initially assessed

     the development potential as 'poor', but this was upped to 'fair' at

     1800 UTC as the disturbance was showing some signs of increased

     organization. The system exhibited some of the characteristics of

     a monsoon depression with the strongest winds located on the outer

     periphery of the circulation, as revealed in a 12/1141 UTC QuikScat

     pass.

 

     The LOW remained quasi-stationary until early on the 13th when a

     pronounced northerly motion commenced. The LLCC continued to

     consolidate and a 13/0419 UTC TRMM microwave image revealed convection

     wrapping into the LLCC from the northern and southwestern quadrants.

     IMD classified the disturbance as a depression at 13/0300 UTC, and

     JTWC issued a TCFA for the system at 13/1100 UTC. The environment had

     become extremely conducive for development with a mid-latitude trough

     over northeastern India aiding poleward outflow and an anticyclone

     developing over the disturbance at 200 hPa. JTWC issued the first

     warning on TC-01B at 13/1800 UTC with the center located approximately

     300 nm west of Yangon, Myanmar, and moving northward at 7 kts. The

     system was being steered northward along the western periphery of a

     mid-level ridge extending from the South China Sea into eastern

     Myanmar. The initial warning intensity was 35 kts. At 13/2100 UTC

     IMD upgraded the depression to deep depression status, implying peak

     1-min avg winds of 30 kts.

 

  2. General Description of Track: TC-01B continued to steadily intensify;

     by 14/0000 UTC winds had reached 50 kts based on satellite bulletins

     from AFWA, SAB and JTWC. At 14/0000 UTC IMD upgraded the system to

     cyclonic storm status, assigning the name Akash. Cyclonic Storm Akash

     never deviated from its track which was very slightly east of due

     north. A 14/0202 UTC SSMI/S microwave image revealed deep convection

     fully wrapping around the LLCC. At 14/0600 UTC Akash was located

     about 255 nm south of Chittagong, Bangladesh, and the northerly motion

     had increased to 15 kts.

 

     Cyclonic Storm Akash reached its estimated peak intensity of 65 kts

     at 14/1800 UTC when it was centered only 60 nm south-southeast of

     Chittagong and moving inland into extreme southeastern Bangladesh.

     Tightly-curved banding was evident in satellite imagery and a 14/1539

     UTC AMSU image indicated a developing eye. Dvorak estimates from

     AFWA and JTWC had reached T4.0/4.0 by this time, while the final

     estimate from SAB at 14/1430 UTC was T3.5/3.5. However, IMD's peak

     MSW for Akash was only 45 kts with an attendant estimated minimum

     CP of 988 hPa. The cyclone's forward motion had accelerated to 17 kts

     by the time of landfall as it was under the steering influence of the

     deep-layer anticyclone centered over Southeast Asia and the

     mid-latitude shortwave trough to the northwest of the storm. After

     landfall Akash began to quickly weaken; JTWC issued their final

     warning at 15/0000 UTC with the winds down to 50 kts and the center

     located about 65 km east-northeast of Chittagong. IMD, however, down-

     graded Akash to a deep depression at this time and further to a 25-kt

     depression at 15/0300 UTC. By 1200 UTC the former tropical cyclone

     had degenerated into a low-pressure area over the extreme eastern

     Indian state of Assam.

 

     The Wikipedia report on Cyclonic Storm Akash may be accessed at the

     following URL:

 

     http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Akash

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

     According to the online Wikipedia report, Sittwe, Myanmar, experienced

  a storm tide of 3 m which flooded coastal areas. Near its landfall

  location Akash produced a storm tide of 1.5 m. One station (name or

  location unknown) recorded 53 mm of rainfall in association with Akash.

  Chittagong, about 60 nm north of the point of landfall, reported peak

  winds of only 20 kts with a minimum SLP of 996.8 hPa.

 

 

  D. Damage and Casualties

  ------------------------

 

     Near the point of landfall 30 businesses were destroyed, and the

  cyclone also destroyed 205 houses with 845 damaged. Akash caused

  moderate crop damage near the coast, destroying 2 ha (4.9 acres) of

  shrimp farms. The Cox's Bazar District experienced power outages due

  to strong winds, and 200 trees were downed on St. Martin's Island.

 

     Reports indicated that 10 boats were missing with a total of 50

  fishermen aboard. On St. Martin's Island three fatalities were

  confirmed. More information can be obtained from the Wikipedia report.

 

  (Report written by Gary Padgett)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E

 

  Activity for May: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - From 90E to 135E

 

  Activity for May: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - From 135E to 160E

 

  Activity for May: 1 tropical cyclone of gale intensity

 

 

                          Sources of Information

                          ----------------------

 

     The primary sources of tracking and intensity information for

  Northeast Australia/Coral Sea tropical cyclones are the warnings

  and advices issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at

  Brisbane, Queensland, and Darwin, Northern Territory, and on very

  infrequent occasions, by the centre at Port Moresby, Papua New

  Guinea. References to sustained winds imply a 10-minute averaging

  period unless otherwise stated.

 

     In the companion tropical cyclone tracks file, I occasionally

  annotate positions from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning

  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl

  Harbor, Hawaii, when they differ from the Australian centres' coor-

  dinates by usually 40-50 nm or more. The JTWC warnings are also the

  source of the 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values included

  in the tracks file. Additionally, information describing details of

  satellite imagery and atmospheric circulation features included in

  the narratives is often gleaned from the JTWC warnings.

 

 

                       Northeast Australia/Coral Sea

                         Tropical Activity for May

                       ---------------------------

 

     After lying dormant for over two months, the Coral Sea managed to

  produce one more tropical cyclone during the 2006-2007 season. Tropical

  Cyclone Pierre was a minimal, short-lived system in mid-May which formed

  to the east of southeastern Papua New Guinea. After existing as a

  tropical cyclone for less than two days, the remnant LOW moved westward

  across the southeastern tip of New Guinea into the Torres Strait, finally

  dissipating near the northern tip of Australia's Cape York Peninsula.

  Following is a report on Pierre, written by Simon Clarke.

 

 

 

                         TROPICAL CYCLONE PIERRE

                                 (TC-24P)

                               16 - 21 May

               -------------------------------------------

 

  A. General Information

  ----------------------

 

  1. Identification

 

     a. RSMC - BoM Brisbane

     b. JTWC - Tropical Cyclone 24P

     c. NAME - Pierre (named by BoM Brisbane at May 17/0000 UTC)

 

  2. Overview

 

     a. Basins Affected: Northeast Australia/Coral Sea (AUE)

     b. Dates: 16 - 21 May, 2007

     c. Max Sust Winds: 40 kts (10-min avg per BoM Brisbane)

                          35 kts (1-min avg per JTWC)

     d. Min Cent Press: 992 hPa (estimate per BoM Brisbane)

 

  3. Beginning of Track: May 16/0000 UTC, near 10.3S/157.2E, or about

     175 nm west-southwest of Honiara, Guadalcanal, as referenced in

     initial gale warning issued by BoM Brisbane.

 

  4. Peak Intensity: May 17/0000 UTC, near 10.7S/156.6E, or about 215 nm

     west-southwest of Honiara, Guadalcanal. (It should be noted that

     BoM Brisbane's MSW was at 40 kts from 17/0000 through 18/0600 UTC.)

 

  5. Size: Based on BoM Brisbane's warnings, at its peak Tropical Cyclone

     Pierre was an average-sized cyclone with gales extending outward

     about 100 nm from the center.

 

  6. End of Track: May 21/1800 UTC, near 11.0S/143.0E, or over the

     extreme northern tip of the Cape York Peninsula, Queensland.

 

 

  B. Synoptic History

  -------------------

 

  1. Origin: Pierre originated from a tropical LOW embedded in the inter-

     tropical convergence zone. The LOW was clearly visible as a

     diurnally 'flaring' westward-moving depression in the Solomon Sea

     several days prior to consolidation into a cyclone. With good upper-

     level outflow to the north and south and low vertical wind shear,

     thunderstorm activity concentrated around the LLCC, leading to

     intensification into a tropical cyclone at 17/00600 UTC near

     10.7S/156.6E (or approximately 215 nm WSW of Honiara, Guadalcanal).

     The cyclone was named by BoM Brisbane. However, the onward track was

     into Port Moresby's AOR.

 

  2. General Description of Track: Despite being located in a fairly

     favourable environment for further intensification, Pierre remained a

     weak, minimal Category 1 cyclone. Disorganised deep convection

     persisted at the periphery of the LLCC as the system drifted in a

     general westerly direction at 5 kts along the northern edge of the

     subtropical ridge anchored to the south over the Coral Sea. Peak

     intensity was achieved soon after the time of naming (40 kts 10-min

     avg MSW / CP of 992 hPa).

 

     As the cyclone approached the southeastern tip of Papua New Guinea,

     another weak low pressure circulation could be seen in visible

     satellite imagery to the near north of Pierre. This LLCC appeared to

     interrupt the inflow of tropical moisture into Pierre, particularly

     from the north. A wedge of dry air wrapped into Pierre's weak

     circulation from the northwest, severely disorganising the cyclone's

     convective structure. Pierre was downgraded at 18/1200 UTC while

     located approx 110 nm ENE of the southeastern tip of Papua New

     Guinea as stronger upper-level wind shear blew away the remaining

     areas of convection to the southeast.

 

     Ex-Pierre's circulation appeared to merge with the secondary LLCC to

     its near north, and the combined system continued on a tack over

     southeastern Papua New Guinea, eventually emerging into the Gulf of

     Papua close to Port Moresby (at approximately 20/000 UTC). Despite

     some convection re-wrapping into the remnant LLCC as it moved

     westward across the Gulf, SSTs were too cool for any significant

     re-intensification. The LLCC continued to drift to the west,

     eventually dissipating as it approached the northern tip of Cape

     York Peninsula, Australia, at 21/1800 UTC.

 

 

  C. Meteorological Data

  ----------------------

 

     No meteorological observations are available.

 

 

  D. Damage and Casualties

  ------------------------

 

     There were no reports of any significant damage associated with

  Pierre. Severe Weather Warnings were issued by BoM, Brisbane, for

  potentially heavy rainfall and thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts

  as the remnant LLCC approached the far northern tip of Cape York.

  However, the system weakened significantly on its approach to Cape

  York and no significant weather impacts were reported.

   

  (Report written by Simon Clarke)

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E

 

  Activity for May: No tropical cyclones

 

  *************************************************************************

 

         SPECIAL FEATURE - SOURCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION

 

     The purpose of this section is to list some websites where many and

  varied types of tropical cyclone information are archived. Many readers

  will know about these already, but for the benefit of those who don't,

  I wanted to include them.

 

  (1) Aircraft Reconnaissance Information

  ---------------------------------------

 

     Various types of messages from reconnaissance aircraft may be

  retrieved from the following FTP site:

 

     ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/products/nhc/recon/

 

     Information regarding how to interpret the coded reconnaissance

  messages may be found at the following URL:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml

 

  Links are also included to websites with further information about the

  U. S. Air Force 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and the NOAA Air-

  craft Operations Center.

 

  (2) Archived Advisories

  -----------------------

 

     All the advisory products (public advisories, forecast/advisories,

  strike probabilities, discussions, various graphics) issued by TPC/NHC

  are archived on TPC's website. For the current year (using 2004 as an

  example), the archived products can be found at:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/index.shtml

 

  Links to tropical products archives for earlier years are available at

  the following URL:

 

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastall.shtml

 

  JTWC warnings for past storms are archived on the NRL Monterrey website:

 

     http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

 

  On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left

  corner of the screen.

 

     I am not aware at the moment of any other TCWC which archives all

  its tropical cyclone warning/advisory products for public access, but

  if I learn of any, I will add them to this list.

 

  (3) Satellite Imagery

  ---------------------

 

     Satellite images of tropical cyclones in various sensor bands are

  available on the NRL Monterrey and University of Wisconsin websites,

  courtesy of Jeff Hawkins and Chris Velden and their associates. The

  links are:

 

     http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

 

     http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html

 

  On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left

  corner of the screen. For the CIMSS site, a link to data archives is

  located in the lower left portion of the screen.

 

     Additional tropical satellite imagery, along with looping ability for

  composite microwave imagery for the Western Hemisphere north of the

  equator, can be found at:

 

  (1) For the Eastern North Pacific:

 

     http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-epac.html

 

  (2) For the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea:

 

     http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html

 

  (4) Cyclone Tracking Information

  --------------------------------

 

     There is a U. S. Navy site that tracks tropical cyclones at 6-hourly

  intervals which often includes pre and post-advisory positions. The

  link to the site is:

 

  http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/doc_archives/

 

  These tracks are often updated as further analysis occurs and may be

  considered as sort of a working "best track".

 

     Steve Young has compiled many of these tracks onto a single webpage

  which is very user-friendly:

 

  http://home.earthlink.net/~shy9/tc1.htm

 

     I'm sure there are other sites with available imagery available, and

  as I learn of them, I will add the links to this list.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

                              EXTRA FEATURE

 

     In order to shorten the amount of typing in preparing the narrative

  material, I have been in the habit of freely using abbreviations and

  acronyms. I have tried to define most of these with the first usage

  in a given summary, but I may have missed one now and then. Most of

  these are probably understood by a majority of readers but perhaps a

  few aren't clear to some. To remedy this I developed a Glossary of

  Abbreviations and Acronyms which I first included in the August, 1998

  summary. I don't normally include the Glossary in most months in

  order to help keep them from being too long. If anyone would like to

  receive a copy of the Glossary, please e-mail me and I'll be happy

  to send them a copy.

 

  *************************************************************************

 

  AUTHOR'S NOTE: This summary should be considered a very preliminary

  overview of the tropical cyclones that occur in each month. The cyclone

  tracks (provided separately) will generally be based upon operational

  warnings issued by the various tropical cyclone warning centers. The

  information contained therein may differ somewhat from the tracking and

  intensity information obtained from a "best-track" file which is based

  on a detailed post-seasonal analysis of all available data. Information

  on where to find official "best-track" files from the various warning

  centers will be passed along from time to time.

 

    The track files are not being sent via e-mail. They can be retrieved

  from the archive sites listed below. (Note: I do have a limited e-mail

  distribution list for the track files. If anyone wishes to receive

  these via e-mail, please send me a message.)

 

    Both the summaries and the track files are standard text files

  created in DOS editor. Download to disk and use a viewer such as

  Notepad or DOS editor to view the files.

 

     The first summary in this series covered the month of October,

  1997. Back issues can be obtained from the following websites

  (courtesy of Michael Bath, Michael V. Padua, Michael Pitt, Chris

  Landsea, and John Diebolt):

 

    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/

    http://www.typhoon2000.ph <http://www.typhoon2000.ph/>

    http://mpittweather.com <http://mpittweather.com/>

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/

    http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/

 

 

     Another website where much information about tropical cyclones may

  be found is the website for the UK Meteorological Office. Their site

  contains a lot of statistical information about tropical cyclones

  globally on a monthly basis. The URL is:

 

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tropicalcyclone

    

 

                    TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORTS AVAILABLE

 

     JTWC now has available on its website the Annual Tropical Cyclone

  Report (ATCR) for 2005 (2004-2005 season for the Southern Hemisphere).

  ATCRs for earlier years are available also.

 

     The URL is: https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php

 

 

     Also, TPC/NHC has available on its webpage nice "technicolor"

  tracking charts for the 2006 Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific

  tropical cyclones; also, storm reports for all the 2006 Atlantic

  and Eastern North Pacific cyclones are now available, as well as

  track charts and reports on storms from earlier years.

 

     The URL is: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov <http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/>

 

 

     A special thanks to Michael Bath of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales,

  Australia, for assisting me with proofreading the summaries.

 

 

  PREPARED BY

 

  Gary Padgett

  E-mail: garyp@alaweb.com

  Phone: 334-222-5327

 

  Kevin Boyle (Northwest Pacific)

  E-mail: newchapelobservatory@btinternet.com

 

  Simon Clarke (Northeast Australia/Coral Sea, South Pacific)

  E-mail: scla4255@bigpond.net.au

 

  *************************************************************************

  *************************************************************************

 

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